Geopolitics77 days left
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$16.5K
53 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 36 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
8 MARKETS · $51.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $142 is directional: YES $12·NO $130YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-73.8%)
Whales
4
R
romanew-1-new🥇
Entry 20¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 64.8%
R
romanew-cryp🥈
Entry 19¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 70.8%
R
romanew-crypto🥉
Entry 19¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.6%
L
longbill2
Entry 8¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+11.9%)
Whales
8
G
GironaNite🥇
Entry 81¢·63 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $51 · WR 88.4%
L
Lbr9🥈
Entry 94¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 68.3%
N
nedsta🥉
Entry 80¢·36.2 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $29 · WR 87.8%
M
mother2
Entry 95¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 86.7%
O
oajd
Entry 95¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 79.5%
S
sdjisd
Entry 95¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 82.2%
D
dahg4
Entry 89¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 74.5%
I
ifh
Entry 95¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 76.3%
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