qpaor · Polymarket wallet 0x1c93…46db

Wallet snapshot

qpaor has made 233 trades on Polymarket across 140 markets, $9,981 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and politics (27%). On 103 resolved markets the win rate is 82.5%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $6 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $4 · 94¢ → 93¢
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 94¢ → 92¢
• Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 95¢ → 87¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $2 · 80¢ → 83¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?No · $2 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $1 · 58¢ → 80¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $1 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 79¢ → 88¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo · $1 · 66¢ → 72¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · +$0 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Aug 28, 2026

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