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PoliticsResolved757 days left

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$9.65M
120,057 trades
Smart Whales
1073
of 20,227 traders · 3 on both sides

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

47 MARKETS · $692.50M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

507 YESvs569 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 64 YES vs 65 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$7+7 new NO$437
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$82.6K of $124.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $3 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $17.6K·NO $24.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$99.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$40.5K(-40.8%)
Whales
507
F
FloatyBoi🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·82,628.7 shares·also $41.3K on NO
$-39620INV $41.3K · WR 63.2%
B
beachboy4🥈
Entry 4¢·248,651.3 shares
$-4917INV $10.0K · WR 56.1%
K
KiernanMeisterProven🥉
Entry 2¢·123,190.2 shares
+$672INV $1.9K · WR 63.4%
1
11122
Entry 2¢·63,626.3 shares
$-20INV $1.3K · WR 60.6%
B
Brokie
Entry 0¢·306,019.8 shares
+$5069INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
R
rdba
Entry 5¢·22,480.5 shares
$-720INV $1.2K · WR 75.2%
P
pulicahedged
Entry 5¢·12,142.1 shares·also $11.5K on NO
$-298INV $547 · WR 58.5%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 2¢·18,867.1 shares
$-22INV $409 · WR 61.2%
T
tedward111
Entry 4¢·7,934.1 shares
$-175INV $337 · WR 67.1%
T
tradervader
Entry 5¢·5,938.5 shares
$-178INV $300 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 507

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican…