asjdi · Polymarket wallet 0xf262…f561

Wallet snapshot

asjdi has made 253 trades on Polymarket across 136 markets, $5,982 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (28%) and politics (25%). On 95 resolved markets the win rate is 77.9%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $10 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $6 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $3 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?No · $2 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $2 · 88¢ → 89¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $1 · 80¢ → 95¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $1 · 83¢ → 98¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $1 · 60¢ → 70¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $1 · 89¢ → 99¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $1 · 68¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · +$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Aug 21, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.