YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$779.4K
3,156 trades
Smart Whales
118
of 655 traders
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
2 MARKETS · $1.72M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
51 YESvs67 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 16¢
YES 43%NO 57%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 16¢
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
$902
$9.0K
+22 new YES · 7 smart whales+24 new NO · 5 smart whales
$587 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 9 · 11
YES 9· $7.2KNO 11· $7.8Kone dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
9 wallets on YES
11 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $40.6K is directional: YES $14.1K·NO $26.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$14.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.7K(-52.2%)
Whales
51
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 29¢·18,741.7 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-2442
$-2442INV $5.3K · WR 61.4%
V
Valen9🥈
Entry 40¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1225
$-1225INV $2.0K · WR 61.5%
R
RdogTest🥉
Entry 40¢·4,179.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-1009
$-1009INV $1.7K · WR 78.3%
C
Contestable-Parfait
Entry 32¢·4,553.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-772
$-772INV $1.5K · WR 55.6%
0
080526
Entry 40¢·3,275.9 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-791
$-791INV $1.3K · WR 82.8%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 35¢·3,077.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-609
$-609INV $1.1K · WR 59.3%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 26¢·1,402 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $361 · WR 83.4%
V
viniihedged
Entry 43¢·512.3 shares·also $235 on NO
Invested
$221
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $221 · WR 66.9%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 36¢·524 shares·also $341 on NO
Invested
$189
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $189 · WR 80.6%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 35¢·515.8 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $180 · WR 81.3%
Showing top 10 of 51
NO Team
Total Invested
$27.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.6K(+24.3%)
Whales
67
M
Monopoly_Money🥇
Entry 64¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$2000
+$2000INV $6.4K · WR 64.4%
B
browne🥈
Entry 72¢·7,194.1 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$903
+$903INV $5.2K · WR 74.8%
K
KrackenSruster🥉
Entry 64¢·7,955.4 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$1632
+$1632INV $5.1K · WR 65.6%
S
Sylvester.the.Cat
Entry 85¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $1.7K · WR 67.4%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 78¢·1,868.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $1.5K · WR 74.3%
M
MEPP
Entry 67¢·2,075.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$363
+$363INV $1.4K · WR 63.5%
G
Gladius7
Entry 68¢·1,250 shares
Invested
$850
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $850 · WR 58.3%
G
Grand-Restoration
Entry 82¢·500 shares
Invested
$410
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $410 · WR 72.0%
B
Bravo414
Entry 65¢·610.7 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $400 · WR 66.0%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 65¢·524 shares·also $189 on YES
Invested
$341
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $341 · WR 80.6%
Showing top 10 of 67
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