YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$940.5K
3,452 trades
Smart Whales
139
of 773 traders · 1 on both sides
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
2 MARKETS · $1.72M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs109 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 6¢
YES 22%NO 78%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 6¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 103 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
$304
$2.5K
+11 new YES · 1 smart whale+14 new NO · 7 smart whales
$74 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 12 · 13
YES 12· $13KNO 13· $24Kone dot = one wallet, whatever its stake
12 wallets on YES
13 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $65.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $13.2K·NO $52.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$16.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$10.0K(-59.5%)
Whales
31
C
Contestable-Parfait🥇
Entry 13¢·64,263.8 shares
Invested
$8.5K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-4359
$-4359INV $8.5K · WR 55.6%
C
classified🥈hedged
Entry 23¢·12,389.7 shares·also $9.3K on NO
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-2202
$-2202INV $2.9K · WR 81.3%
V
Valen9🥉
Entry 21¢·10,055.3 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1451
$-1451INV $2.1K · WR 61.5%
S
seal7◆Proven
Entry 17¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$850
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-525
$-525INV $850 · WR 60.2%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 16¢·2,819.1 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$443
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-288
$-288INV $443 · WR 80.6%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 26¢·1,671.9 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-343
$-343INV $435 · WR 75.2%
E
Eia◆Proven
Entry 17¢·1,700 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $284 · WR 61.5%
T
towtle
Entry 13¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $264 · WR 61.2%
S
SamsClub-VIP
Entry 17¢·906.5 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $158 · WR 60.4%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 19¢·583.7 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $113 · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$64.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.6K(+13.3%)
Whales
109
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 89¢·16,329.8 shares
Invested
$14.5K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$731
+$731INV $14.5K · WR 61.4%
C
classified🥈hedged
Entry 75¢·12,389.7 shares·also $2.9K on YES
Invested
$9.3K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$2407
+$2407INV $9.3K · WR 81.3%
M
Monopoly_Money🥉
Entry 77¢·8,100 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$1356
+$1356INV $6.2K · WR 64.4%
F
fgydusggb
Entry 84¢·6,730 shares
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$639
+$639INV $5.7K · WR 79.3%
K
Kris-Future
Entry 83¢·5,500 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$552
+$552INV $4.6K · WR 88.5%
B
browne
Entry 84¢·5,335.9 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$502
+$502INV $4.5K · WR 74.8%
H
Huludubu
Entry 85¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$425
+$425INV $4.3K · WR 64.9%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 85¢·2,819.1 shares·also $443 on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $2.4K · WR 80.6%
R
Rafael88
Entry 77¢·2,930.4 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$472
+$472INV $2.3K · WR 62.0%
G
Grand-Restoration
Entry 94¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$937
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $937 · WR 72.0%
Showing top 10 of 109
Smart Whale Trades
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