bettingonwar · Polymarket wallet 0xaff4…de3c

Wallet snapshot

bettingonwar has made 115 trades on Polymarket across 17 markets, $207K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (65%) and politics (12%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 100%, lifetime P&L +$3,333. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No · $6,047 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes · $5,471 · 29¢ → 30¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No · $4,020 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No · $3,139 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Trump goes to space in 2026?No · $1,708 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $801 · 69¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · +$175 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$957 · Nov 4, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · +$709 · Nov 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · +$136 · Nov 1, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No · +$41 · Oct 16, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$16 · Oct 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

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