kevtp · Polymarket wallet 0xdc4b…dbca

Wallet snapshot

kevtp has made 12,226 trades on Polymarket across 348 markets, $4.7M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (61%) and politics (15%). On 296 resolved markets the win rate is 80.7%, lifetime P&L +$70K. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No · $49K · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $39K · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $38K · 93¢ → 95¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $9,250 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $4,968 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $3,646 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $1,850 · 76¢ → 93¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $945 · 85¢ → 95¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $905 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $835 · 84¢ → 84¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1,501 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · +$108 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$99 · Oct 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$573 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 30, 2026?No · +$12 · Oct 1, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No · +$165 · Oct 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.