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Geopolitics9 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$197.6K
660 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 290 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $931.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs27 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 30 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+114 new YES$73.6K+110 new NO$49.3K
$34.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 34 buyers — left out of momentum
31 smart whales26 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $41.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $21.4K·NO $20.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$21.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$554(-2.6%)
Whales
31
C
classifiedProven🥇
Entry 58¢·7,356 shares
+$9INV $4.3K · WR 81.3%
A
apple-piProven🥈
Entry 65¢·6,202.7 shares
$-403INV $4.0K · WR 66.3%
A
AllByMyseIf🥉
Entry 62¢·4,999.9 shares
$-170INV $3.1K · WR 71.1%
N
notimeforcaution
Entry 58¢·4,930.2 shares
+$42INV $2.8K · WR 72.0%
C
Car
Entry 58¢·4,000 shares
+$13INV $2.3K · WR 65.0%
S
StarMasterProven
Entry 62¢·2,000 shares
$-74INV $1.2K · WR 55.2%
F
FrogCharts
Entry 59¢·1,000 shares
$-5INV $590 · WR 68.0%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 58¢·900 shares
+$5INV $522 · WR 59.8%
G
Gl4d
Entry 56¢·677 shares
+$17INV $379 · WR 56.4%
M
Monopoly_Money
Entry 55¢·658.4 shares
+$25INV $360 · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 31

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…