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Geopolitics60 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$1.47M
8,447 trades
Smart Whales
284
of 1,437 traders · 5 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

3 MARKETS · $1.56M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

157 YESvs132 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 46 YES vs 92 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$638+9 new NO$1.3K
$256 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$568 of $271.6K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $23.2K·NO $247.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$114.3K
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$73.3K(-64.1%)
Whales
157
M
MisTKy🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·50,245.1 shares·also $2.6K on NO
$-35900INV $41.4K · WR 70.4%
C
Car🥈
Entry 88¢·14,035.6 shares
$-10787INV $12.3K · WR 65.0%
O
Outsmarter🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·12,593.9 shares·also $823 on NO
$-10488INV $11.9K · WR 73.5%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 17¢·56,634.4 shares
$-3611INV $9.8K · WR 61.2%
S
selador
Entry 89¢·9,089.4 shares
$-7099INV $8.1K · WR 91.7%
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Entry 13¢·20,577 shares
$-500INV $2.8K · WR 62.8%
M
mm4ker
Entry 35¢·5,714.3 shares
$-1371INV $2.0K · WR 69.5%
N
notssf3
Entry 15¢·12,331.6 shares
$-493INV $1.8K · WR 61.2%
P
Pulser
Entry 17¢·8,944 shares
$-527INV $1.5K · WR 56.6%
T
TheKinginYellow
Entry 31¢·2,900 shares
$-585INV $904 · WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 157

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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