EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$33.5K
41,820 trades
Smart Whales
505
of 5,380 traders · 1 on both sides
Will the Fed increase interest rates by...
7 MARKETS · $13.27M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$775.8K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$775.8K65/99
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
33¢−9¢$113.8K15/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting−9¢33¢
$113.8K15/47
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
20¢+34¢$7.52M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+34¢20¢
$7.52M322/278
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+15¢$39.2K6/29by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+15¢2¢
$39.2K6/29
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
58 YESvs448 NO
12%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 40 YES vs 284 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $375.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $43.9K·NO $331.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$49.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$41.5K(-84.3%)
Whales
58
D
debased◆Proven🥇
Entry 8¢·321,502.7 shares
Invested
$25.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-25367
$-25367INV $25.4K · WR 65.9%
F
Frayed-Focus🥈
Entry 17¢·60,354.1 shares
Invested
$10.5K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-10519
$-10519INV $10.5K · WR 61.1%
F
foodenjoyer🥉
Entry 1¢·752,456.6 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-4606
$-4606INV $4.6K · WR 60.2%
Y
yungstalin
Entry 1¢·558,987.7 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$1397
+$1397INV $3.4K · WR 60.4%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 1¢·180,404.5 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-2556
$-2556INV $2.6K · WR 74.6%
B
BeneGesseritVoice◆Proven
Entry 1¢·126,360.2 shares
Invested
$726
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$348
+$348INV $726 · WR 73.0%
A
AllByMyseIfhedged
Entry 0¢·110,000 shares·also $109.4K on NO
Invested
$330
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$605
+$605INV $330 · WR 70.8%
K
Kalags
Entry 1¢·40,000 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $200 · WR 60.3%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 20¢·627 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 59.7%
L
leoeagle
Entry 1¢·14,584.5 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $117 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 58
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.85M
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.81M(+41.0%)
Whales
448
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 99¢·1,779,147.2 shares
Invested
$1.77M
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-5247
$-5247INV $1.77M · WR 88.8%
J
JAHODA🥈
Entry 64¢·917,261.3 shares
Invested
$586.3K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$323181
+$323181INV $586.3K · WR 87.4%
I
ImJustKen🥉
Entry 99¢·551,196.8 shares
Invested
$548.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1678
$-1678INV $548.2K · WR 61.2%
U
Upright-Snug
Entry 99¢·472,510.1 shares
Invested
$469.8K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-1333
$-1333INV $469.8K · WR 80.1%
T
third-eye
Entry 99¢·460,522.5 shares
Invested
$457.6K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-957
$-957INV $457.6K · WR 77.4%
A
aff3
Entry 99¢·289,409.5 shares
Invested
$287.4K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-434
$-434INV $287.4K · WR 79.2%
P
pako
Entry 99¢·255,728 shares
Invested
$254.2K
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-620
$-620INV $254.2K · WR 68.3%
T
Tigerofthehood
Entry 99¢·241,669.9 shares
Invested
$240.1K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-466
$-466INV $240.1K · WR 87.3%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 99¢·171,000.1 shares
Invested
$169.9K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-380
$-380INV $169.9K · WR 81.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 100¢·169,256.2 shares
Invested
$168.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-757
$-757INV $168.6K · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 448
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 472ms