pako · Polymarket wallet 0x71ed…d338

Wallet snapshot

pako has made 15,985 trades on Polymarket across 481 markets, $14M in volume. Most of it is in economics (34%) and crypto (25%). On 420 resolved markets the win rate is 68.3%, lifetime P&L +$352K. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $227K · 85¢ → 87¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $77K · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No · $8,414 · 65¢ → 95¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $7,669 · 66¢ → 56¢
• Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No · $4,706 · 91¢ → 100¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $3,974 · 54¢ → 71¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $3,660 · 75¢ → 87¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3,075 · 45¢ → 21¢
• Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $1,602 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No · $999 · 90¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · -$10 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes · -$10 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · -$31 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · -$51 · Oct 14, 2026
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes · -$256 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

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