EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$33.43M
30,256 trades
Smart Whales
643
of 3,142 traders · 5 on both sides
Fed Decision in September?
7 MARKETS · $46.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting←
0¢+29¢$33.43M190/458by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting←+29¢0¢
$33.43M190/458
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
19¢+35¢$7.49M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+35¢19¢
$7.49M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.38M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.38M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$775.8K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$775.8K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
190 YESvs458 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 115 YES vs 244 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$44 of $500.4K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $160.1K·NO $340.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$748.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$409.9K(-54.7%)
Whales
190
V
Vilgefortz🥇
Entry 37¢·620,000 shares
Invested
$227.0K
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-227019
$-227019INV $227.0K · WR 75.3%
F
foodenjoyer🥈
Entry 4¢·1,967,133.6 shares
Invested
$70.9K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-70929
$-70929INV $70.9K · WR 60.2%
F
Frayed-Focus🥉
Entry 37¢·68,061 shares
Invested
$24.9K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-24863
$-24863INV $24.9K · WR 61.1%
5
50-Pence
Entry 3¢·590,584.3 shares
Invested
$16.2K
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-16218
$-16218INV $16.2K · WR 58.9%
D
DirkDiggler67◆Proven
Entry 1¢·958,721.4 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-7964
$-7964INV $8.0K · WR 67.6%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 22¢·33,333 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-7278
$-7278INV $7.3K · WR 58.8%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 1¢·750,000 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-6743
$-6743INV $6.7K · WR 55.4%
J
JJo
Entry 22¢·30,000 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-6604
$-6604INV $6.6K · WR 76.6%
M
MysticFind
Entry 1¢·876,717.5 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-5974
$-5974INV $6.0K · WR 90.5%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 5¢·126,580.6 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-5788
$-5788INV $5.8K · WR 74.6%
Showing top 10 of 190
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.03M
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.57M(+75.8%)
Whales
458
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 77¢·3,104,333 shares
Invested
$2.38M
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$726236
+$726236INV $2.38M · WR 88.8%
U
Upright-Snug🥈
Entry 62¢·1,211,359.4 shares
Invested
$751.0K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$460313
+$460313INV $751.0K · WR 80.1%
C
classified◆Proven🥉
Entry 47¢·667,696.7 shares
Invested
$314.9K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$352842
+$352842INV $314.9K · WR 82.7%
D
Detailed-Poison
Entry 50¢·554,011.4 shares
Invested
$278.8K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$275215
+$275215INV $278.8K · WR 86.2%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 99¢·257,907.1 shares
Invested
$255.7K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2168
+$2168INV $255.7K · WR 88.7%
A
anonboi2
Entry 99¢·100,909.1 shares
Invested
$99.9K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$909
+$909INV $99.9K · WR 56.5%
T
TheRealWarMonger
Entry 99¢·41,530 shares
Invested
$41.1K
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $41.1K · WR 81.5%
C
charlatta
Entry 99¢·40,940 shares
Invested
$40.6K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$350
+$350INV $40.6K · WR 87.3%
G
gokol
Entry 99¢·30,467.8 shares
Invested
$30.3K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $30.3K · WR 73.9%
T
thanksmom
Entry 99¢·18,433.8 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $18.3K · WR 87.0%
Showing top 10 of 458
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