Economics108 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$91.0K
1,484 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 271 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed Decision in January?
9 MARKETS · $13.15M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
17¢+37¢$7.30M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+37¢17¢
$7.30M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.37M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.37M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
75¢−35¢$763.2K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−35¢75¢
$763.2K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+13¢$38.3K7/43by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+13¢1¢
$38.3K7/43
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+14¢$55.1K7/38by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+14¢2¢
$55.1K7/38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting
66¢−40¢$82.0K14/40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting−40¢66¢
$82.0K14/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs51 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$6.5K+52 new NO$17.0K
$2.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$610 of $7.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.6K·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$234(+3.6%)
Whales
16
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·7,649.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$259
+$259INV $2.3K · WR 64.4%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥈
Entry 33¢·4,000.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $1.3K · WR 60.4%
M
mohitshah9920🥉
Entry 22¢·3,345 shares
Invested
$750
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $750 · WR 84.0%
S
sdhyky
Entry 71¢·904 shares
Invested
$642
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-357
$-357INV $642 · WR 59.4%
C
charlatta
Entry 35¢·1,567.6 shares
Invested
$545
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $545 · WR 87.3%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 45¢·987.4 shares
Invested
$444
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $444 · WR 58.8%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 30¢·1,000 shares·also $977 on NO
Invested
$305
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $305 · WR 69.6%
D
data-sync
Entry 33¢·397 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $131 · WR 76.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·324.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $65 · WR 87.7%
P
puravida
Entry 47¢·49.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $23 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.1K
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+14.7%)
Whales
51
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven🥇
Entry 60¢·2,071.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $1.2K · WR 83.5%
V
VictorLudorum🥈
Entry 52¢·2,197.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$353
+$353INV $1.2K · WR 88.2%
M
melonmanm🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·1,502.1 shares·also $305 on YES
Invested
$977
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $977 · WR 69.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 55¢·1,569.8 shares
Invested
$869
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$207
+$207INV $869 · WR 75.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 61¢·1,149 shares
Invested
$696
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $696 · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 51¢·1,221.7 shares
Invested
$624
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$213
+$213INV $624 · WR 79.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 68¢·500 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $340 · WR 57.7%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 44¢·765.3 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$187
+$187INV $337 · WR 66.1%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 66¢·500 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $333 · WR 74.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 64¢·414.7 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $266 · WR 84.5%
Showing top 10 of 51
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