exothetajunkie · Polymarket wallet 0x2478…2e62

Wallet snapshot

exothetajunkie has made 8,524 trades on Polymarket across 647 markets, $547K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (28%) and economics (27%). On 626 resolved markets the win rate is 59.7%, lifetime P&L +$23K. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US recession by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US recession by end of 2026?No · $1,339 · 82¢ → 93¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $521 · 69¢ → 84¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?No · $386 · 67¢ → 86¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $383 · 79¢ → 77¢
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $158 · 67¢ → 65¢
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No · $133 · 77¢ → 97¢
• No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?No · $121 · 69¢ → 68¢
• Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes · $118 · 34¢ → 98¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes · $92 · 39¢ → 18¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $70 · 30¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes · +$64 · Oct 6, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes · +$142 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$48 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?No · +$2 · Sep 22, 2026
• Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes · +$1,522 · Sep 16, 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · +$3,780 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

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