Economics84 days left
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
72¢
72% implied
NO Price
28¢
28% implied
Volume
$299.3K
2,323 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 388 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed Decision in January?
8 MARKETS · $4.11M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
22¢+25¢$2.93M110/122Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+25¢22¢
$2.93M110/122
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+16¢$194.9K11/52by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+16¢1¢
$194.9K11/52
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+23¢$177.5K16/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+23¢2¢
$177.5K16/47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting←
72¢−44¢$299.3K23/58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting←−44¢72¢
$299.3K23/58
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
25¢0¢$354.7K21/64by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting0¢25¢
$354.7K21/64
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+22¢$119.9K13/44by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+22¢1¢
$119.9K13/44
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs59 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$7.4K+20 new NO$1.4K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$27 of $7.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6.5K·NO $897YES Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+24.7%)
Whales
24
X
x26◆Proven🥇
Entry 60¢·5,215.9 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$661
+$661INV $3.1K · WR 77.7%
T
truthteller🥈hedged
Entry 60¢·1,842.4 shares·also $599 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $1.1K · WR 57.7%
C
conherence🥉
Entry 73¢·1,036.3 shares
Invested
$758
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $758 · WR 59.3%
K
KimJonEn
Entry 68¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$675
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $675 · WR 74.3%
P
pmcb
Entry 63¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$630
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $630 · WR 91.8%
W
Wagner275738hedged
Entry 37¢·1,618.8 shares·also $982 on NO
Invested
$603
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$563
+$563INV $603 · WR 89.0%
D
Dr.RelativeValue
Entry 67¢·500 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $335 · WR 81.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven
Entry 56¢·500 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $281 · WR 69.7%
7
0x71e11e0f...hedged
Entry 63¢·400 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$251
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $251 · WR 55.5%
M
MysticFind
Entry 74¢·233 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $172 · WR 88.6%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$30.5K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.9K(-29.3%)
Whales
59
F
forgotmydinner🥇
Entry 67¢·7,800 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-3028
$-3028INV $5.2K · WR 86.2%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven🥈
Entry 41¢·7,219.9 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-944
$-944INV $3.0K · WR 83.4%
K
kaxel78🥉
Entry 46¢·5,183.9 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-908
$-908INV $2.4K · WR 85.3%
A
akroll
Entry 45¢·5,053.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-874
$-874INV $2.3K · WR 84.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 42¢·4,530.8 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-612
$-612INV $1.9K · WR 86.2%
Z
zerone777
Entry 37¢·4,047.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-370
$-370INV $1.5K · WR 84.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 37¢·3,306.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-313
$-313INV $1.2K · WR 88.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 42¢·2,650.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-375
$-375INV $1.1K · WR 88.2%
W
Wagner275738hedged
Entry 61¢·1,618.8 shares·also $603 on YES
Invested
$982
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-529
$-529INV $982 · WR 89.0%
P
pollo07
Entry 37¢·2,271.3 shares
Invested
$846
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-210
$-210INV $846 · WR 85.4%
Showing top 10 of 59
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