Economics129 days left
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$21.8K
341 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 116 traders
Fed Decision in January?
7 MARKETS · $2.47M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
44¢+24¢$2.17M222/105Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting+24¢44¢
$2.17M222/105
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
31¢+16¢$213.4K48/55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+16¢31¢
$213.4K48/55
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
3¢+7¢$15.2K3/26by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+7¢3¢
$15.2K3/26
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
6¢+13¢$23.0K6/25by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+13¢6¢
$23.0K6/25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting←
57¢−24¢$21.8K13/27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting←−24¢57¢
$21.8K13/27
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs27 NO
33%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $1.8K·NO $49YES Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$445(+16.7%)
Whales
13
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 60¢·1,557.7 shares
Invested
$938
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $938 · WR 58.1%
F
firegold🥈
Entry 61¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$610
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $610 · WR 60.1%
W
Wagner275738🥉hedged
Entry 37¢·1,618.8 shares·also $982 on NO
Invested
$603
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$328
+$328INV $603 · WR 88.4%
S
sorcerer.00hedged
Entry 38¢·535.7 shares·also $271 on NO
Invested
$204
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $204 · WR 77.6%
D
Donkov
Entry 60¢·200 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $120 · WR 69.4%
S
Sardonic-Cue
Entry 61¢·101.6 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $62 · WR 79.2%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 38¢·112.7 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $43 · WR 66.4%
W
Wonderful-Disgust
Entry 19¢·200 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $37 · WR 73.3%
P
prov123
Entry 62¢·25.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 60.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 63¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 68.9%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$234(-7.6%)
Whales
27
W
Wagner275738🥇hedged
Entry 61¢·1,618.8 shares·also $603 on YES
Invested
$982
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-294
$-294INV $982 · WR 88.4%
R
RememberAmalek🥈
Entry 37¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $370 · WR 65.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 40¢·845.7 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $335 · WR 87.7%
S
sorcerer.00hedged
Entry 51¢·535.7 shares·also $204 on YES
Invested
$271
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $271 · WR 77.6%
D
0xd32ce89f...
Entry 43¢·390 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $168 · WR 83.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 40¢·374.3 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $150 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $90 · WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 40¢·207.3 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $83 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 40¢·200 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $80 · WR 71.9%
K
korda77
Entry 40¢·198 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $79 · WR 85.0%
Showing top 10 of 27
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