pmcb · Polymarket wallet 0xa569…96ec

Wallet snapshot

pmcb has made 2,267 trades on Polymarket across 71 markets, $880K in volume. Most of it is in economics (35%) and geopolitics (24%). On 60 resolved markets the win rate is 91.7%, lifetime P&L +$22K. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $45K · 90¢ → 97¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $29K · 84¢ → 96¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $24K · 79¢ → 93¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $21K · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes · $3,955 · 58¢ → 56¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $3,460 · 83¢ → 87¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes · $2,760 · 60¢ → 69¢
• AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No · $1,555 · 81¢ → 82¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes · $1,260 · 77¢ → 84¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes · $620 · 62¢ → 62¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$1,064 · Sep 13, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?No · +$38 · Aug 28, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$110 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?No · +$241 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$1,497 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?

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