Economics103 days left
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$130.5K
1,452 trades
Smart Whales
69
of 282 traders · 2 on both sides
Fed Decision in January?
7 MARKETS · $14.58M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
87¢−16¢$13.23M608/254Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−16¢87¢
$13.23M608/254
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
19¢+27¢$809.5K76/91Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+27¢19¢
$809.5K76/91
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+8¢$81.9K5/52by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+8¢1¢
$81.9K5/52
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+17¢$86.0K11/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+17¢2¢
$86.0K11/47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting←
66¢−38¢$130.5K19/50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting←−38¢66¢
$130.5K19/50
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs51 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$5.2K+32 new NO$4.1K
$1.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26 of $7.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $7.0K·NO $303YES Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+19.8%)
Whales
20
X
x26◆Proven🥇
Entry 55¢·3,172.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$332
+$332INV $1.7K · WR 77.5%
M
MysticFind🥈
Entry 66¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $1.3K · WR 90.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 65¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1.3K · WR 57.6%
C
charlatta
Entry 56¢·1,800 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $1.0K · WR 87.0%
P
pmcb
Entry 63¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$630
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $630 · WR 91.7%
W
Wagner275738hedged
Entry 37¢·1,618.8 shares·also $982 on NO
Invested
$603
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$458
+$458INV $603 · WR 89.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 41¢·1,209.2 shares·also $642 on NO
Invested
$493
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$299
+$299INV $493 · WR 55.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 64¢·495.6 shares
Invested
$317
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $317 · WR 68.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 56¢·500 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $281 · WR 70.5%
7
0x71e11e0f...hedged
Entry 61¢·400 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$246
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $246 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.2K
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-19.4%)
Whales
51
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven🥇
Entry 46¢·4,101.4 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-466
$-466INV $1.9K · WR 83.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 47¢·2,941.7 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-369
$-369INV $1.4K · WR 79.6%
K
kaxel78🥉
Entry 59¢·2,037.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-501
$-501INV $1.2K · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 44¢·2,404.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-236
$-236INV $1.1K · WR 85.9%
W
Wagner275738hedged
Entry 61¢·1,618.8 shares·also $603 on YES
Invested
$982
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $982 · WR 89.2%
A
akroll
Entry 46¢·2,102.4 shares
Invested
$977
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-252
$-252INV $977 · WR 87.7%
L
Likaseent
Entry 48¢·2,041.6 shares
Invested
$972
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-268
$-268INV $972 · WR 80.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 44¢·2,120 shares
Invested
$935
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $935 · WR 88.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 53¢·1,209.2 shares·also $493 on YES
Invested
$642
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $642 · WR 55.2%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 44¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$489
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $489 · WR 58.7%
Showing top 10 of 51
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