Economics79 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$1.37M
5,209 trades
Smart Whales
159
of 1,413 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.62M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$153.6K18/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$153.6K18/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+19¢$151.4K15/66Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+19¢0¢
$151.4K15/66
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+22¢$153.8K16/56Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+22¢0¢
$153.8K16/56
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+12¢$93.2K8/60Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+12¢0¢
$93.2K8/60
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$179.9K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$179.9K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+19¢$70.0K15/65Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+19¢0¢
$70.0K15/65
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$500.1K19/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$500.1K19/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$85.4K11/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$85.4K11/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+16¢$206.1K15/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+16¢2¢
$206.1K15/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
3¢+34¢$538.5K63/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+34¢3¢
$538.5K63/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026←
9¢+26¢$1.37M56/103Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026←+26¢9¢
$1.37M56/103
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
54¢−38¢$441.4K17/89Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−38¢54¢
$441.4K17/89
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Smart Money Consensus
56 YESvs103 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 34 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%
+2 new YES$6+1 new NO$1
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.4K is directional: YES $3.1K·NO $343YES Team
Total Invested
$8.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-50.4%)
Whales
56
D
devote666🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·1,142 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1020
$-1020INV $1.1K · WR 88.2%
A
akimbogod🥈
Entry 36¢·2,967.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-787
$-787INV $1.1K · WR 67.2%
N
nurseEnroll🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·1,016 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$998
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-904
$-904INV $998 · WR 73.1%
L
lake-cupboardhedged
Entry 98¢·895 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$877
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-794
$-794INV $877 · WR 76.2%
R
ratehikes
Entry 18¢·4,774 shares
Invested
$863
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-422
$-422INV $863 · WR 68.8%
P
podairpod
Entry 39¢·1,139.3 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $440 · WR 60.3%
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Entry 32¢·1,016.9 shares
Invested
$321
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $321 · WR 62.9%
D
DancewithRisk
Entry 37¢·805.1 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-220
$-220INV $294 · WR 69.1%
Q
quizpm14hedged
Entry 2¢·1,660 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $30 · WR 77.8%
C
convince.mirror.lockhedged
Entry 2¢·1,715 shares·also $1.7K on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $29 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 56
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.6K(+35.1%)
Whales
103
C
convince.mirror.lock🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·1,715 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $1.7K · WR 75.9%
Q
quizpm14🥈hedged
Entry 98¢·1,660 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $1.6K · WR 77.8%
B
brick2510🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·1,267 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $1.2K · WR 62.5%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 47¢·2,347.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1017
+$1017INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
T
tortoise-theme-whiphedged
Entry 99¢·944 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$932
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $932 · WR 78.9%
B
base44hedged
Entry 98¢·946 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$927
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $927 · WR 61.9%
L
like-responsehedged
Entry 98¢·800 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$784
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $784 · WR 70.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 82¢·855.7 shares
Invested
$702
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $702 · WR 71.9%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 10¢·1,743.3 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1414
+$1414INV $168 · WR 85.8%
1
0x130843eb...
Entry 58¢·233.8 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $137 · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 103
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