Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$248.6K
6,595 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 459 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
15 MARKETS · $6.97M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.7K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.7K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.2K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.2K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.7K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.7K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026←
0¢+13¢$248.6K9/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026←+13¢0¢
$248.6K9/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.5K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.5K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.3K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.3K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.7K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.7K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$501.1K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$501.1K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.6K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.6K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$208.1K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$208.1K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.8K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.8K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
26¢+9¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+9¢26¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
50¢−33¢$514.9K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−33¢50¢
$514.9K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs63 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$1+2 new NO$9
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $14 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $11·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
78.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-50.2%)
Whales
8
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven🥇
Entry 0¢·2,038.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
T
Tee1000🥈
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 81.8%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉
Entry 5¢·30.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 84.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 1¢·100 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbelieverhedged
Entry 7¢·10 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
J
JoE
Entry 7¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 76.3%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.2K(+103.7%)
Whales
63
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 51¢·2,373.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1154
+$1154INV $1.2K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 67¢·827.7 shares
Invested
$554
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $554 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 62¢·632.5 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$239
+$239INV $391 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·391 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $390 · WR 88.2%
I
i18z
Entry 100¢·369.9 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $369 · WR 87.1%
R
rated
Entry 99¢·319 shares
Invested
$316
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $316 · WR 87.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 27¢·1,056.5 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$767
+$767INV $286 · WR 57.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 100¢·241.5 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $241 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 100¢·239.7 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $239 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·229 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $228 · WR 87.7%
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