Economics89 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$70.4K
1,832 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 267 traders ยท 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS ยท $6.64M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+17ยข$154.1K14/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+17ยข0ยข
$154.1K14/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+20ยข$151.9K17/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+20ยข0ยข
$151.9K17/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+11ยข$154.1K8/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+11ยข0ยข
$154.1K8/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+10ยข$94.2K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10ยข0ยข
$94.2K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+26ยข$180.3K27/78Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+26ยข0ยข
$180.3K27/78
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026โ
0ยข+14ยข$70.4K11/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026โ+14ยข0ยข
$70.4K11/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0ยข+18ยข$500.7K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18ยข0ยข
$500.7K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+15ยข$86.7K12/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+15ยข0ยข
$86.7K12/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2ยข+14ยข$207.6K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14ยข2ยข
$207.6K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1ยข+34ยข$539.1K59/112Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+34ยข1ยข
$539.1K59/112
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
23ยข+12ยข$1.38M56/105Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+12ยข23ยข
$1.38M56/105
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
51ยขโ35ยข$444.9K17/90Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026โ35ยข51ยข
$444.9K17/90
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Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs69 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars ยท 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$1 of $13 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2ยทNO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$185(-84.0%)
Whales
11
T
tinknows๐ฅhedged
Entry 92ยขยท200 sharesยทalso $2 on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-183
$-183INV $184 ยท WR 70.6%
T
Tysha๐ฅ
Entry 4ยขยท25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 89.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever๐ฅhedged
Entry 7ยขยท10 sharesยทalso $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 59.5%
J
JoE
Entry 7ยขยท9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 76.3%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 6ยขยท4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 ยท WR 84.6%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0ยขยท13.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 ยท WR 76.3%
Showing top 6 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.5K
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.4K(+84.2%)
Whales
69
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 63ยขยท2,137.9 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$788
+$788INV $1.3K ยท WR 85.8%
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท890.8 shares
Invested
$882
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $882 ยท WR 72.1%
I
i18z๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท369.9 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $366 ยท WR 87.0%
R
rated
Entry 95ยขยท344 shares
Invested
$326
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $326 ยท WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99ยขยท324 shares
Invested
$322
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $322 ยท WR 89.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 99ยขยท241.4 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $240 ยท WR 87.6%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 99ยขยท239.7 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $238 ยท WR 85.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99ยขยท241 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $238 ยท WR 88.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 99ยขยท219 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $217 ยท WR 79.3%
N
nashyy43
Entry 95ยขยท224.7 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $213 ยท WR 87.4%
Showing top 10 of 69
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