Economics85 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$180.5K
2,087 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 404 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS ยท $6.64M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+17ยข$154.3K14/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+17ยข0ยข
$154.3K14/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+19ยข$152.0K16/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+19ยข0ยข
$152.0K16/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+16ยข$154.4K12/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+16ยข0ยข
$154.4K12/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+17ยข$94.4K12/57Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+17ยข0ยข
$94.4K12/57
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026โ
0ยข+28ยข$180.5K29/76Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026โ+28ยข0ยข
$180.5K29/76
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+14ยข$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14ยข0ยข
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0ยข+21ยข$500.9K18/67Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+21ยข0ยข
$500.9K18/67
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+19ยข$87.4K16/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+19ยข0ยข
$87.4K16/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2ยข+14ยข$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14ยข2ยข
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1ยข+33ยข$539.4K56/107Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33ยข1ยข
$539.4K56/107
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
17ยข+18ยข$1.38M56/103Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+18ยข17ยข
$1.38M56/103
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
68ยขโ50ยข$445.8K20/89Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026โ50ยข68ยข
$445.8K20/89
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs79 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars ยท 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $41 is directional: YES $6ยทNO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-93.0%)
Whales
26
S
stomach114๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท2,255 sharesยทalso $81 on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-2159
$-2159INV $2.2K ยท WR 73.3%
A
anchor-medal๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,363 sharesยทalso $46 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1308
$-1308INV $1.3K ยท WR 75.0%
L
lizardRebuild๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,247 sharesยทalso $42 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1197
$-1197INV $1.2K ยท WR 68.4%
P
pull6562hedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,085 sharesยทalso $37 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-1041
$-1041INV $1.0K ยท WR 81.3%
M
melt-kingdomhedged
Entry 96ยขยท579 sharesยทalso $21 on NO
Invested
$554
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-552
$-552INV $554 ยท WR 81.0%
D
dawn-plunge-flashhedged
Entry 3ยขยท1,643 sharesยทalso $1.6K on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $56 ยท WR 87.5%
C
customow19hedged
Entry 4ยขยท1,539 sharesยทalso $1.5K on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $55 ยท WR 93.8%
P
pluck14hedged
Entry 3ยขยท1,461 sharesยทalso $1.4K on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $50 ยท WR 82.4%
V
verb-timehedged
Entry 4ยขยท1,329 sharesยทalso $1.3K on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $48 ยท WR 71.4%
W
wayShadowhedged
Entry 3ยขยท1,285 sharesยทalso $1.2K on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $44 ยท WR 80.0%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.4K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.3K(+65.1%)
Whales
79
D
dawn-plunge-flash๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,643 sharesยทalso $56 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $1.6K ยท WR 87.5%
C
customow19๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,539 sharesยทalso $55 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $1.5K ยท WR 93.8%
P
pluck14๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,462 sharesยทalso $50 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $1.4K ยท WR 82.4%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 59ยขยท2,314.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$947
+$947INV $1.4K ยท WR 85.8%
V
verb-timehedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,329 sharesยทalso $48 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $1.3K ยท WR 71.4%
W
wayShadowhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,285 sharesยทalso $44 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $1.2K ยท WR 80.0%
C
crisp415hedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,217 sharesยทalso $41 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $1.2K ยท WR 78.9%
C
correct-relyhedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,055 sharesยทalso $36 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $1.0K ยท WR 63.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 100ยขยท890 shares
Invested
$886
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $886 ยท WR 72.2%
S
stomach114hedged
Entry 4ยขยท2,255 sharesยทalso $2.2K on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$2166
+$2166INV $81 ยท WR 73.3%
Showing top 10 of 79
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 374ms