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Economics89 days left

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be โ‰ค1.0% at the end of 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$258.1K
8,419 trades
Smart Whales
129
of 432 traders ยท 1 on both sides

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

14 MARKETS ยท $6.64M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

39 YESvs91 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars ยท 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%ยท net of hedges
+2 new YES$0+2 new NO$6
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$1 of $37 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2ยทNO $34
YES Team
Total Invested
$10.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.4K(-73.2%)
Whales
39
B
Bridge.Increase.Pony๐Ÿฅ‡hedged
Entry 97ยขยท1,801 sharesยทalso $61 on NO
$-1743INV $1.7K ยท WR 88.9%
M
mansionki32๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 98ยขยท1,447 sharesยทalso $23 on NO
$-1414INV $1.4K ยท WR 68.2%
G
genre-sword๐Ÿฅ‰hedged
Entry 96ยขยท1,178 sharesยทalso $40 on NO
$-1132INV $1.1K ยท WR 57.9%
R
roundzn77hedged
Entry 97ยขยท1,110.6 sharesยทalso $38 on NO
$-1078INV $1.1K ยท WR 78.9%
R
Regretuz81hedged
Entry 98ยขยท1,055 sharesยทalso $21 on NO
$-1028INV $1.0K ยท WR 81.0%
M
moment825hedged
Entry 97ยขยท861 sharesยทalso $26 on NO
$-832INV $835 ยท WR 68.0%
H
humanqo59hedged
Entry 3ยขยท1,968.8 sharesยทalso $1.9K on NO
$-51INV $58 ยท WR 78.9%
M
Mosquito1127hedged
Entry 3ยขยท1,080 sharesยทalso $1.1K on NO
$-24INV $28 ยท WR 57.1%
L
like-responsehedged
Entry 3ยขยท922 sharesยทalso $890 on NO
$-24INV $28 ยท WR 70.8%
J
jump800hedged
Entry 2ยขยท1,642 sharesยทalso $1.6K on NO
$-21INV $26 ยท WR 76.5%
Showing top 10 of 39

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Smart money 30% YES: the upper bound of the target federalโ€ฆ