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Economics57 days left

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$541.5K
3,843 trades
Smart Whales
152
of 638 traders · 2 on both sides

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

15 MARKETS · $7.14M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

47 YESvs107 NO
31%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+2 new YES$1+4 new NO$117
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $149
YES Team
Total Invested
$17.5K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$9.7K(-55.6%)
Whales
47
M
Manual-Now-Anxiety🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·1,901 shares·also $171 on NO
$-1697INV $1.7K · WR 92.3%
C
capableDaughter🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·1,468 shares·also $59 on NO
$-1389INV $1.4K · WR 66.7%
M
Measurecz17🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·1,403 shares·also $126 on NO
$-1252INV $1.3K · WR 70.0%
A
amateur-advice-pulphedged
Entry 91¢·1,348 shares·also $128 on NO
$-1202INV $1.2K · WR 84.2%
R
report-burgerhedged
Entry 97¢·1,216 shares·also $40 on NO
$-1162INV $1.2K · WR 86.2%
F
fed26
Entry 41¢·2,780.5 shares
$-1099INV $1.1K · WR 59.1%
T
topple.admit.thishedged
Entry 91¢·1,143 shares·also $104 on NO
$-1020INV $1.0K · WR 68.2%
M
myselfOrbithedged
Entry 9¢·1,889 shares·also $1.7K on NO
$-143INV $170 · WR 83.3%
B
Blond-Ruling
Entry 41¢·413.1 shares
$-162INV $168 · WR 67.9%
R
rebuild-hinthedged
Entry 9¢·1,793 shares·also $1.6K on NO
$-135INV $161 · WR 76.5%
Showing top 10 of 47

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Smart money 31% YES: the upper bound of the target federal…