Economics79 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$538.5K
3,633 trades
Smart Whales
167
of 619 traders · 2 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.62M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$153.7K18/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$153.7K18/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+26¢$151.4K22/62Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+26¢0¢
$151.4K22/62
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$153.8K15/57Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$153.8K15/57
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+22¢$93.2K15/54Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+22¢0¢
$93.2K15/54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+31¢$180.0K33/73Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+31¢0¢
$180.0K33/73
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+19¢$70.1K15/66Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+19¢0¢
$70.1K15/66
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$500.2K19/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$500.2K19/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$85.4K18/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$85.4K18/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+17¢$206.2K16/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+17¢2¢
$206.2K16/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026←
3¢+33¢$538.5K62/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026←+33¢3¢
$538.5K62/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
15¢+23¢$1.37M60/98Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+23¢15¢
$1.37M60/98
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
57¢−37¢$441.4K21/84Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−37¢57¢
$441.4K21/84
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Smart Money Consensus
61 YESvs108 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 10 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$1+5 new NO$67
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.5K·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$23.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.0K(-60.5%)
Whales
61
C
coolquail🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·1,991.2 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1799
$-1799INV $1.9K · WR 56.5%
M
Manual-Now-Anxiety🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·1,901 shares·also $171 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-1666
$-1666INV $1.7K · WR 100.0%
C
capableDaughter🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·1,468 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1366
$-1366INV $1.4K · WR 69.2%
C
Crash2569hedged
Entry 91¢·1,544 shares·also $139 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-1353
$-1353INV $1.4K · WR 70.6%
A
antiqueuk11hedged
Entry 91¢·1,431 shares·also $129 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1254
$-1254INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
A
absorb-facehedged
Entry 91¢·1,406 shares·also $127 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-1232
$-1232INV $1.3K · WR 84.6%
M
Measurecz17hedged
Entry 91¢·1,403 shares·also $126 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-1230
$-1230INV $1.3K · WR 77.8%
A
annualkx49hedged
Entry 91¢·1,376 shares·also $124 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-1206
$-1206INV $1.2K · WR 77.3%
A
amateur-advice-pulphedged
Entry 91¢·1,348 shares·also $128 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-1180
$-1180INV $1.2K · WR 83.3%
F
fed26
Entry 41¢·2,780.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-1060
$-1060INV $1.1K · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 61
NO Team
Total Invested
$28.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$13.1K(+45.3%)
Whales
108
V
vendor6349🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·3,319 shares·also $133 on YES
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $3.2K · WR 76.2%
M
myselfOrbit🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·1,889 shares·also $170 on YES
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $1.7K · WR 88.2%
R
rebuild-hint🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·1,793 shares·also $161 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $1.6K · WR 76.5%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 79¢·1,618.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$297
+$297INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
C
coolquailhedged
Entry 62¢·1,991.1 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$691
+$691INV $1.2K · WR 56.5%
R
range5903hedged
Entry 91¢·1,289 shares·also $116 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $1.2K · WR 68.2%
C
Crowded-Farming
Entry 96¢·1,169 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $1.1K · WR 77.6%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 22¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$330
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1124
+$1124INV $330 · WR 85.8%
M
Manual-Now-Anxietyhedged
Entry 9¢·1,901 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$171
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$1672
+$1672INV $171 · WR 100.0%
C
Crash2569hedged
Entry 9¢·1,544 shares·also $1.4K on YES
Invested
$139
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$1358
+$1358INV $139 · WR 70.6%
Showing top 10 of 108
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