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Economics16 days left

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.38M
7,692 trades
Smart Whales
310
of 1,030 traders

Fed Decision in October?

9 MARKETS · $34.42M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

53 YESvs257 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 39 YES vs 158 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$53+21 new NO$2.4K
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $115.7K is directional: YES $14.9K·NO $100.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$108.4K
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$103.9K(-95.8%)
Whales
53
M
m00n🥇
Entry 99¢·92,661 shares
$-91545INV $91.9K · WR 68.4%
F
foodenjoyer🥈
Entry 5¢·54,548 shares
$-2553INV $2.7K · WR 60.2%
5
50-Pence🥉
Entry 4¢·57,000 shares
$-2144INV $2.3K · WR 58.9%
D
debasedProven
Entry 4¢·48,973.6 shares
$-1955INV $2.1K · WR 65.9%
R
RememberAmalekProven
Entry 5¢·31,808 shares
$-1324INV $1.4K · WR 64.4%
M
MysticFind
Entry 1¢·170,501.4 shares
$-601INV $1.2K · WR 90.5%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 1¢·138,036.5 shares
$-643INV $1.1K · WR 58.6%
C
classifiedProven
Entry 20¢·4,000 shares
$-786INV $800 · WR 82.7%
O
OrbitSugarFree
Entry 21¢·2,999.9 shares
$-610INV $620 · WR 84.8%
P
PotatoKotato
Entry 1¢·60,000 shares
$-272INV $480 · WR 63.3%
Showing top 10 of 53

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 17% YES: the Fed increase interest rates by 50+…