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Economics25 days left

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$3.40M
7,076 trades
Smart Whales
256
of 839 traders

Fed Decision in October?

9 MARKETS ยท $25.46M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

45 YESvs211 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars ยท 38 YES vs 107 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%ยท net of hedges
+17 new YES$1.0K+34 new NO$13.7K
$979 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
2 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $138.5K is directional: YES $28.5KยทNO $110.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$29.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$24.9K(-83.7%)
Whales
45
X
XAE12Archangel๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 20ยขยท67,269.4 shares
$-13151INV $13.5K ยท WR 77.3%
F
foodenjoyer๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 5ยขยท54,548 shares
$-2498INV $2.7K ยท WR 60.2%
5
50-Pence๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 4ยขยท57,000 shares
$-2087INV $2.3K ยท WR 58.9%
D
debasedProven
Entry 4ยขยท48,973.6 shares
$-1906INV $2.1K ยท WR 65.9%
R
RememberAmalekProven
Entry 5ยขยท31,808 shares
$-1293INV $1.4K ยท WR 64.5%
M
MysticFind
Entry 1ยขยท170,501.4 shares
$-431INV $1.2K ยท WR 90.5%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 1ยขยท138,036.5 shares
$-505INV $1.1K ยท WR 58.5%
M
m00n
Entry 20ยขยท5,152.4 shares
$-1007INV $1.0K ยท WR 68.4%
D
DonationsReceiver
Entry 20ยขยท2,637.6 shares
$-516INV $528 ยท WR 73.0%
P
PotatoKotato
Entry 1ยขยท60,000 shares
$-212INV $480 ยท WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 45

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 18% YES: the Fed increase interest rates by 50+โ€ฆ