katanaAob · Polymarket wallet 0x3f4b…f574

Wallet snapshot

katanaAob has made 5,663 trades on Polymarket across 1,201 markets, $120K in volume. Most of it is in politics (31%) and sports (29%). On 1,129 resolved markets the win rate is 57%, lifetime P&L +$390. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1,954 · 80¢ → 91¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · $767 · 35¢ → 54¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $197 · 21¢ → 9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · $80 · 70¢ → 60¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $79 · 28¢ → 38¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · $69 · 33¢ → 87¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $54 · 73¢ → 71¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $46 · 48¢ → 86¢
• Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No · $27 · 36¢ → 54¢
• Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes · $20 · 23¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$2 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Melody Morris be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)?Yes · +$1 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

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