Economics79 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$226.3K

2,607 trades

Smart Whales

54

of 454 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.87M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+40¢$20.1K9/12

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+40¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+27¢$57.3K12/30

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+41¢$142.7K13/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+41¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

9¢+35¢$44.2K17/22

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+35¢9¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

5¢+21¢$81.2K6/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+21¢5¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

78¢−31¢$142.4K26/29

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−31¢78¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$23.0K6/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$28.4K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+46¢$13.3K7/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+46¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+23¢$107.6K5/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+23¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+23¢$132.6K5/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+23¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.3K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+40¢$42.3K10/14

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+40¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027←

2¢+35¢$226.3K20/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027←+35¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

3¢+46¢$369.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+46¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+45¢$322.4K27/31

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+45¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

3¢+41¢$82.2K18/23

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+41¢3¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

20 YESvs34 NO

37%63%

63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 17 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%

+1 new YES$0+2 new NO$24

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $10.7K is directional: YES $11·NO $10.7K

YES Team

Total Invested

$16.5K

Avg Win Rate

64.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$15.3K(-92.6%)

Whales

20

cyc0lin4🥇hedged

Entry 63¢·8,109.9 shares·also $3.4K on NO

$-4915INV $5.1K · WR 57.4%

sorcerer.09🥈hedged

Entry 87¢·3,272.8 shares·also $1.0K on NO

$-2784INV $2.8K · WR 72.0%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged

Entry 60¢·4,488.9 shares·also $2.8K on NO

$-2615INV $2.7K · WR 57.7%

Sardonic-Cuehedged

Entry 93¢·2,436.9 shares·also $918 on NO

$-2210INV $2.3K · WR 79.2%

TheWolfOfPolyhedged

Entry 98¢·1,011 shares·also $375 on NO

$-970INV $990 · WR 59.1%

ImJustKenhedged

Entry 78¢·1,261.1 shares·also $499 on NO

$-955INV $980 · WR 61.2%

Entry 112¢·678.3 shares

$-746INV $759 · WR 70.3%

Entry 40¢·162.2 shares

$-62INV $65 · WR 61.0%

Entry 25¢·42.3 shares

$-10INV $11 · WR 64.8%

BikesarethebestProven

Entry 4¢·59 shares

$-1INV $3 · WR 56.3%

Showing top 10 of 20

NO Team

Total Invested

$20.1K

Avg Win Rate

63.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$15.1K(+75.1%)

Whales

34

0x4e25605f...Proven🥇

Entry 64¢·5,548.1 shares

+$1886INV $3.6K · WR 69.4%

cyc0lin4🥈hedged

Entry 37¢·9,110 shares·also $5.1K on YES

+$5535INV $3.4K · WR 57.4%

Entry 88¢·3,752.1 shares

+$389INV $3.3K · WR 59.9%

ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged

Entry 63¢·4,488.9 shares·also $2.7K on YES

+$1560INV $2.8K · WR 57.7%

DEGENKHANProven

Entry 97¢·1,397.4 shares

+$12INV $1.4K · WR 66.6%

sorcerer.09hedged

Entry 32¢·3,272.8 shares·also $2.8K on YES

+$2174INV $1.0K · WR 72.0%

Sardonic-Cuehedged

Entry 40¢·2,313.9 shares·also $2.3K on YES

+$1351INV $918 · WR 79.2%

Entry 63¢·1,045 shares

+$371INV $653 · WR 58.1%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 96¢·677.9 shares

+$14INV $650 · WR 68.2%

StarMasterProven

Entry 60¢·1,000.3 shares

+$379INV $604 · WR 55.4%

Showing top 10 of 34

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1226ms