Economics88 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?

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YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$28.3K

274 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 123 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.85M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.8K9/9

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

3¢+23¢$55.8K10/28

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+23¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

3¢+42¢$142.6K13/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+42¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

16¢+28¢$41.9K16/20

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+28¢16¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

8¢+19¢$81.0K6/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+19¢8¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

74¢−27¢$140.1K24/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−27¢74¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+30¢$23.0K6/13

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027←

2¢+31¢$28.3K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027←+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+43¢$13.2K7/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+43¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+22¢$107.6K5/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+22¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$132.5K6/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.2K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.8K9/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+38¢$226.0K23/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+38¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$366.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$320.1K27/28

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$81.7K17/22

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs10 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 8 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $564 is directional: YES $7·NO $558

YES Team

Total Invested

$54

Avg Win Rate

71.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$49(-89.6%)

Whales

5

XAE12Archangel🥇hedged

Entry 93¢·28 shares·also $6 on NO

$-25INV $26 · WR 77.3%

DEGENKHAN🥈hedged

Entry 95¢·22.5 shares·also $2 on NO

$-21INV $21 · WR 66.7%

Entry 3¢·203.3 shares

$-1INV $6 · WR 61.0%

Entry 10¢·10 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 75.3%

Entry 10¢·1 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 56.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$566

Avg Win Rate

90.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$96(+17.1%)

Whales

10

Entry 96¢·303 shares

+$5INV $291 · WR 97.4%

valeriafronzo🥈

Entry 97¢·59 shares

+$1INV $57 · WR 76.0%

Entry 99¢·54.1 shares

$-1INV $53 · WR 69.2%

Entry 98¢·48.8 shares

$-0INV $48 · WR 94.4%

Entry 99¢·41.7 shares

$-0INV $41 · WR 91.7%

Entry 99¢·41 shares

$-0INV $41 · WR 93.3%

Entry 90¢·19.6 shares

+$2INV $18 · WR 66.9%

Sardonic-CueProven

Entry 91¢·8.9 shares

+$1INV $8 · WR 79.1%

XAE12Archangelhedged

Entry 8¢·78 shares·also $26 on YES

+$70INV $6 · WR 77.3%

DEGENKHANhedged

Entry 7¢·22.5 shares·also $21 on YES

+$20INV $2 · WR 66.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5%…