Economics88 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

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YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$107.6K

677 trades

Smart Whales

21

of 253 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.85M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.8K9/9

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

3¢+23¢$55.8K10/28

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+23¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

3¢+42¢$142.6K13/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+42¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

16¢+28¢$41.9K16/20

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+28¢16¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

8¢+19¢$81.0K6/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+19¢8¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

74¢−27¢$140.1K24/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−27¢74¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+30¢$23.0K6/13

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$28.3K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+43¢$13.2K7/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+43¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027←

2¢+22¢$107.6K5/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027←+22¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$132.5K6/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.2K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.8K9/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+38¢$226.0K23/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+38¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$366.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$320.1K27/28

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$81.7K17/22

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs16 NO

24%76%

76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 12 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $5·NO $2.4K

YES Team

Total Invested

$2.6K

Avg Win Rate

64.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$2.5K(-97.4%)

Whales

5

DEGENKHANProven🥇

Entry 85¢·1,629 shares

$-1352INV $1.4K · WR 66.7%

Runner109🥈hedged

Entry 103¢·928 shares·also $69 on NO

$-933INV $954 · WR 62.1%

podairpod🥉hedged

Entry 96¢·246 shares·also $13 on NO

$-230INV $236 · WR 60.0%

Entry 2¢·226.9 shares

+$1INV $5 · WR 61.0%

BikesarethebestProven

Entry 6¢·31.2 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 56.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$3.4K

Avg Win Rate

71.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.3K(+36.9%)

Whales

16

Entry 97¢·1,000 shares

+$10INV $968 · WR 92.2%

Entry 94¢·892.3 shares

+$32INV $837 · WR 58.2%

VoluptatumVero325🥉

Entry 95¢·861 shares

+$22INV $821 · WR 57.1%

Entry 98¢·199.4 shares

$-1INV $196 · WR 66.7%

Entry 97¢·138.6 shares

+$1INV $134 · WR 68.3%

Entry 93¢·125.1 shares

+$6INV $116 · WR 88.0%

Entry 96¢·88 shares

+$1INV $85 · WR 97.4%

Entry 39¢·215.1 shares

+$126INV $84 · WR 91.8%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 98¢·85.8 shares

$-0INV $84 · WR 68.6%

Runner109hedged

Entry 7¢·928 shares·also $954 on YES

+$839INV $69 · WR 62.1%

Showing top 10 of 16

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Smart money 24% YES: the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5%…