Economics88 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?

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YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$132.5K

794 trades

Smart Whales

21

of 291 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.85M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.8K9/9

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

3¢+23¢$56.2K10/28

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+23¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

3¢+42¢$142.6K13/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+42¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

15¢+29¢$41.9K16/20

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+29¢15¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

6¢+21¢$81.0K6/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+21¢6¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

73¢−26¢$140.1K24/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−26¢73¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+30¢$23.0K6/13

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$28.3K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+43¢$13.2K7/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+43¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+22¢$107.6K5/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+22¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027←

2¢+27¢$132.5K6/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027←+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.2K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.8K9/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+38¢$226.0K23/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+38¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$366.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$320.1K27/28

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$81.7K17/22

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs15 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 13 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.8K is directional: YES $0·NO $2.8K

YES Team

Total Invested

$801

Avg Win Rate

61.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$781(-97.5%)

Whales

6

Runner109🥇hedged

Entry 95¢·755.1 shares·also $42 on NO

$-697INV $715 · WR 62.1%

podairpod🥈hedged

Entry 94¢·83.4 shares·also $4 on NO

$-77INV $79 · WR 60.0%

Entry 19¢·41.3 shares

$-7INV $8 · WR 61.0%

Entry 5¢·2 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 77.3%

Entry 7¢·1 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 62.9%

Entry 7¢·1 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 58.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$2.9K

Avg Win Rate

81.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$798(+28.0%)

Whales

15

Entry 97¢·1,397.8 shares

+$11INV $1.3K · WR 97.4%

thebetter1234🥈

Entry 98¢·731.3 shares

$-5INV $717 · WR 66.7%

Entry 95¢·400 shares

+$13INV $380 · WR 60.0%

Entry 97¢·126.4 shares

$-0INV $123 · WR 80.0%

Entry 94¢·99 shares

+$3INV $93 · WR 87.3%

DEGENKHANProven

Entry 95¢·77.7 shares

+$2INV $74 · WR 66.7%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 97¢·45.1 shares

$-0INV $44 · WR 68.6%

Runner109hedged

Entry 6¢·755.1 shares·also $715 on YES

+$696INV $42 · WR 62.1%

Entry 95¢·9.5 shares

+$0INV $9 · WR 86.0%

Entry 97¢·7.9 shares

+$0INV $8 · WR 67.5%

Showing top 10 of 15

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Smart money 29% YES: the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25%…