Economics60 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$23.7K

283 trades

Smart Whales

18

of 120 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.91M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

2¢+42¢$20.9K8/10

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+29¢$58.8K11/25

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+29¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+39¢$142.7K12/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+56¢$52.4K21/15

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+56¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

2¢+24¢$82.2K5/14

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+24¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

69¢−22¢$150.8K23/26

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−22¢69¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027←

3¢+36¢$23.7K7/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027←+36¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$2.5K4/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$5.6K3/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+36¢$28.4K6/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+36¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+46¢$13.3K7/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+46¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+12¢$7621/6

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+12¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

3¢+24¢$110.2K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+24¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+25¢$132.6K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+25¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.4K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$43.8K10/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+39¢$233.6K20/29

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$379.3K32/41

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$325.2K25/31

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+46¢$82.4K21/23

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+46¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs11 NO

39%61%

61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $2·NO $1.5K

YES Team

Total Invested

$76

Avg Win Rate

63.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$64(-84.9%)

Whales

7

JT716🥇hedged

Entry 93¢·30 shares·also $4 on NO

$-27INV $28 · WR 65.4%

DEGENKHAN🥈hedged

Entry 97¢·16.8 shares·also $1 on NO

$-16INV $16 · WR 66.6%

Entry 111¢·14.3 shares

$-16INV $16 · WR 61.0%

podairpodhedged

Entry 85¢·15.3 shares·also $6 on NO

$-13INV $13 · WR 59.1%

Entry 11¢·11 shares

+$3INV $1 · WR 56.9%

Entry 11¢·10 shares

+$3INV $1 · WR 66.8%

Entry 3¢·3 shares

+$1INV $0 · WR 57.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.6K

Avg Win Rate

61.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$278(-16.9%)

Whales

11

Entry 97¢·934.9 shares

$-336INV $908 · WR 58.2%

Entry 97¢·500 shares

+$3INV $487 · WR 66.1%

BikesarethebestProven🥉

Entry 94¢·163.7 shares

+$5INV $154 · WR 56.3%

Entry 93¢·86.5 shares

$-28INV $81 · WR 87.1%

podairpodhedged

Entry 39¢·15.3 shares·also $13 on YES

+$9INV $6 · WR 59.1%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 97¢·5.2 shares

$-2INV $5 · WR 67.8%

Entry 14¢·30 shares·also $28 on YES

+$25INV $4 · WR 65.4%

Entry 97¢·1 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 82.5%

Entry 93¢·1.1 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 55.5%

Sardonic-CueProven

Entry 4¢·26.3 shares

+$25INV $1 · WR 79.1%

Showing top 10 of 11

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Smart money 39% YES: the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0%…