Economics105 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

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YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$18.9K

224 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 107 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.82M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.2K7/7

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+14¢$55.1K5/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+14¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

3¢+40¢$142.6K12/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+40¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

24¢+18¢$39.3K13/18

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+18¢24¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

5¢+24¢$80.6K6/15

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+24¢5¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

62¢−19¢$124.1K18/24

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−19¢62¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027←

3¢+35¢$18.9K5/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027←+35¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.3K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

1¢+19¢$3.8K2/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+29¢$28.3K5/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+29¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+42¢$13.1K6/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+42¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$107.2K4/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+25¢$132.4K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+25¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

1¢+28¢$21.2K7/17

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+28¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.6K8/14

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+40¢$223.2K25/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+40¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

3¢+46¢$365.8K34/35

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+46¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

1¢+54¢$318.4K31/25

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+54¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

6¢+39¢$81.5K17/21

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+39¢6¢

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Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs9 NO

36%64%

64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$13+5 new NO$594

$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $2·NO $1.0K

YES Team

Total Invested

$59

Avg Win Rate

63.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$56(-95.2%)

Whales

5

JT716🥇hedged

Entry 93¢·30 shares·also $4 on NO

$-27INV $28 · WR 65.6%

Entry 111¢·14.3 shares

$-15INV $16 · WR 61.0%

podairpod🥉hedged

Entry 85¢·15.3 shares·also $6 on NO

$-13INV $13 · WR 60.4%

Entry 11¢·11 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%

Entry 11¢·10 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 66.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

79.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$77(+7.3%)

Whales

9

Sardonic-Cue🥇

Entry 91¢·963.5 shares

+$41INV $879 · WR 79.1%

Gaujmalietis🥈

Entry 93¢·86.5 shares

+$2INV $81 · WR 87.9%

Entry 94¢·47.1 shares

+$1INV $44 · WR 92.3%

Entry 97¢·33.6 shares

$-1INV $33 · WR 66.8%

podairpodhedged

Entry 39¢·15.3 shares·also $13 on YES

+$9INV $6 · WR 60.4%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 97¢·5.2 shares

$-0INV $5 · WR 69.0%

Entry 14¢·30 shares·also $28 on YES

+$25INV $4 · WR 65.6%

Entry 97¢·1 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 82.5%

Entry 93¢·1.1 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 56.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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