Economics60 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$2.5K

144 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 66 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.91M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

2¢+42¢$21.2K8/10

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+29¢$58.8K11/25

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+29¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+39¢$142.7K12/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+56¢$52.4K21/15

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+56¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

2¢+24¢$82.2K5/14

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+24¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

69¢−22¢$150.8K23/26

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−22¢69¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

3¢+36¢$23.7K7/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+36¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027←

2¢+27¢$2.5K4/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027←+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$5.7K3/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+36¢$28.4K6/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+36¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+46¢$13.3K7/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+46¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+12¢$7621/6

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+12¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

3¢+24¢$110.2K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+24¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+25¢$132.6K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+25¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.4K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$43.8K10/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+39¢$233.6K20/29

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$379.3K32/41

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$325.2K25/31

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+46¢$82.4K21/23

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+46¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs10 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 7 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $723 is directional: YES $0·NO $722

YES Team

Total Invested

$283

Avg Win Rate

67.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$278(-98.2%)

Whales

4

Runner109🥇hedged

Entry 95¢·219.8 shares·also $13 on NO

$-204INV $208 · WR 63.5%

UnderwriterGCR🥈hedged

Entry 104¢·50 shares·also $3 on NO

$-51INV $52 · WR 84.2%

DEGENKHAN🥉hedged

Entry 99¢·23 shares·also $1 on NO

$-22INV $23 · WR 66.6%

Entry 4¢·10 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 58.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$740

Avg Win Rate

68.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$304(+41.1%)

Whales

10

Pepe1234567🥇

Entry 94¢·533.1 shares

+$25INV $500 · WR 64.8%

thebetter1234🥈

Entry 98¢·114.5 shares

+$0INV $112 · WR 67.4%

Entry 97¢·73.5 shares

+$1INV $71 · WR 95.7%

Entry 94¢·14.7 shares

+$1INV $14 · WR 87.1%

Runner109hedged

Entry 6¢·219.8 shares·also $208 on YES

+$203INV $13 · WR 63.5%

Entry 98¢·10.2 shares

+$0INV $10 · WR 92.0%

Entry 86¢·11 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 56.9%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 98¢·5.7 shares

+$0INV $6 · WR 67.8%

UnderwriterGCRhedged

Entry 9¢·40 shares·also $52 on YES

+$36INV $3 · WR 84.2%

DEGENKHANhedged

Entry 3¢·38.9 shares·also $23 on YES

+$37INV $1 · WR 66.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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