Economics88 days left

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

15¢

15% implied

NO Price

85¢

85% implied

Volume

$41.9K

1,129 trades

Smart Whales

35

of 247 traders · 1 on both sides

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.85M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.8K9/9

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

3¢+23¢$56.2K10/28

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+23¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

3¢+42¢$142.6K13/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+42¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027←

15¢+29¢$41.9K16/20

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027←+29¢15¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

6¢+21¢$81.0K6/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+21¢6¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

73¢−26¢$140.1K24/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−26¢73¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+30¢$23.0K6/13

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$28.3K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+43¢$13.2K7/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+43¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+22¢$107.6K5/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+22¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$132.5K6/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.2K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.8K9/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+38¢$226.0K23/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+38¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$366.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$320.1K27/28

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$81.7K17/22

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

16 YESvs20 NO

44%56%

56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 12 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$2 of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $1.6K

YES Team

Total Invested

$1.6K

Avg Win Rate

81.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$1.1K(-70.7%)

Whales

16

Entry 52¢·2,272.1 shares

$-832INV $1.2K · WR 82.8%

XAE12Archangel🥈hedged

Entry 94¢·240.7 shares·also $17 on NO

$-189INV $226 · WR 77.3%

Entry 31¢·271.5 shares·also $293 on NO

$-43INV $84 · WR 92.2%

2kingminer1111hedged

Entry 111¢·20 shares·also $1 on NO

$-19INV $22 · WR 73.1%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

$-14INV $20 · WR 67.0%

nufonehudis67hedged

Entry 96¢·20 shares·also $1 on NO

$-16INV $19 · WR 55.4%

Sardonic-CueProven

Entry 15¢·61.3 shares

—INV $9 · WR 79.1%

Entry 17¢·16.6 shares

+$1INV $3 · WR 60.8%

Bikesarethebesthedged

Entry 5¢·33.1 shares·also $98 on NO

+$3INV $2 · WR 56.1%

Entry 9¢·11.3 shares·also $9 on NO

+$1INV $1 · WR 68.3%

Showing top 10 of 16

NO Team

Total Invested

$2.0K

Avg Win Rate

70.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$37(-1.8%)

Whales

20

DEGENKHANProven🥇

Entry 95¢·864.5 shares

$-84INV $819 · WR 66.7%

Pepe1234567🥈

Entry 95¢·421.1 shares

$-65INV $400 · WR 64.4%

Entry 108¢·271.5 shares·also $84 on YES

$-62INV $293 · WR 92.2%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 95¢·205.9 shares

$-32INV $196 · WR 68.6%

Bikesarethebesthedged

Entry 92¢·106.2 shares·also $2 on YES

$-8INV $98 · WR 56.1%

CompulsiveGambler

Entry 94¢·100 shares

$-10INV $94 · WR 68.3%

Entry 91¢·40 shares

$-3INV $36 · WR 84.1%

XAE12Archangelhedged

Entry 7¢·240.7 shares·also $226 on YES

+$187INV $17 · WR 77.3%

Nonstop-Tailspin

Entry 85¢·14.6 shares

$-1INV $12 · WR 78.5%

Entry 89¢·13.6 shares

$-1INV $12 · WR 58.5%

Showing top 10 of 20

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 628ms

Smart money 44% YES: the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5%…