UnderwriterGCR · Polymarket wallet 0x771d…440e

Wallet snapshot

UnderwriterGCR has made 3,992 trades on Polymarket across 425 markets, $869K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (49%) and geopolitics (17%). On 392 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%, lifetime P&L +$18K. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $7,560 · 86¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?No · $4,803 · 99¢ → 99¢
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $3,610 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $960 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $945 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $905 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $497 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No · $477 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No · $466 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?No · $402 · 95¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1,397 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$178 · Oct 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No · +$28 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?No · +$6 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No · +$81 · Sep 8, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?No · +$224 · Sep 7, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

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