Economics60 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$13.3K

515 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 159 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.91M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

2¢+42¢$21.2K8/10

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+29¢$58.8K11/25

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+29¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+39¢$142.7K12/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+56¢$52.4K21/15

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+56¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

2¢+24¢$82.2K5/14

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+24¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

69¢−22¢$150.8K23/26

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−22¢69¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

3¢+36¢$23.7K7/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+36¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$2.5K4/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$5.7K3/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+36¢$28.4K6/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+36¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027←

1¢+46¢$13.3K7/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027←+46¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+12¢$7621/6

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+12¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

3¢+24¢$110.2K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+24¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+25¢$132.6K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+25¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.4K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$43.8K10/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+39¢$233.6K20/29

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$379.3K32/41

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$325.2K25/31

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+46¢$82.4K21/23

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+46¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs8 NO

47%53%

53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $7·NO $1.2K

YES Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

78.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$1.1K(-98.3%)

Whales

7

Sardonic-Cue🥇hedged

Entry 99¢·1,136.3 shares·also $115 on NO

$-1106INV $1.1K · WR 79.1%

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged

Entry 13¢·101.2 shares·also $90 on NO

$-11INV $13 · WR 57.5%

Chrissistar04🥉

Entry 9¢·60.9 shares

$-5INV $5 · WR 74.8%

TheWolfOfPolyhedged

Entry 8¢·30 shares·also $28 on NO

$-2INV $2 · WR 59.1%

Entry 2¢·56.8 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 67.4%

Gummy-Casserolehedged

Entry 12¢·3.7 shares·also $3 on NO

$-0INV $0 · WR 75.9%

Entry 2¢·4.5 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 62.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.4K

Avg Win Rate

67.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.0K(+72.2%)

Whales

8

DEGENKHANProven🥇

Entry 98¢·1,058.5 shares

+$1INV $1.0K · WR 66.6%

Elias.Thornwell🥈

Entry 99¢·124.7 shares

$-0INV $123 · WR 67.8%

Sardonic-Cue🥉hedged

Entry 10¢·1,136.3 shares·also $1.1K on YES

+$1005INV $115 · WR 79.1%

ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged

Entry 89¢·101.2 shares·also $13 on YES

+$9INV $90 · WR 57.5%

TheWolfOfPolyhedged

Entry 93¢·30 shares·also $2 on YES

+$2INV $28 · WR 59.1%

Entry 92¢·8.7 shares

+$1INV $8 · WR 86.3%

Gummy-Casserolehedged

Entry 72¢·3.7 shares·also $0 on YES

+$1INV $3 · WR 75.9%

Entry 89¢·1.2 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 61.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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