Economics88 days left

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

73¢

73% implied

NO Price

27¢

27% implied

Volume

$140.1K

1,870 trades

Smart Whales

49

of 372 traders · 2 on both sides

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.85M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.8K9/9

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

3¢+23¢$56.2K10/28

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+23¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

3¢+42¢$142.6K13/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+42¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

15¢+29¢$41.9K16/20

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+29¢15¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

6¢+21¢$81.0K6/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+21¢6¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027←

73¢−26¢$140.1K24/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027←−26¢73¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+30¢$23.0K6/13

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$28.3K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+43¢$13.2K7/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+43¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+22¢$107.6K5/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+22¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$132.5K6/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.2K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.8K9/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+38¢$226.0K23/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+38¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$366.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$320.1K27/28

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$81.7K17/22

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs27 NO

47%53%

53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 13 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%

+2 new YES$29+0 new NO$0

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$70 of $13.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $6.7K·NO $6.8K

YES Team

Total Invested

$8.4K

Avg Win Rate

62.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$847(+10.1%)

Whales

24

Entry 81¢·5,470.2 shares

$-194INV $4.4K · WR 56.3%

Entry 81¢·1,212 shares

$-77INV $978 · WR 60.0%

AddilynRamirez🥉hedged

Entry 95¢·978 shares·also $52 on NO

$-208INV $925 · WR 76.9%

Entry 66¢·1,000 shares·also $26 on NO

+$79INV $657 · WR 65.8%

Tough-Stormhedged

Entry 95¢·400 shares·also $22 on NO

$-86INV $379 · WR 61.5%

Wilted-Burden-Survivor

Entry 80¢·374 shares

$-22INV $298 · WR 71.7%

Entry 89¢·288.1 shares

$-44INV $255 · WR 92.2%

Entry 85¢·135.4 shares

$-11INV $115 · WR 63.0%

Bikesarethebesthedged

Entry 12¢·859 shares·also $846 on NO

+$524INV $106 · WR 56.1%

Entry 52¢·144 shares

+$31INV $75 · WR 61.2%

Showing top 10 of 24

NO Team

Total Invested

$10.2K

Avg Win Rate

74.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$6.8K(-66.8%)

Whales

27

Entry 77¢·6,815.2 shares

$-3702INV $5.3K · WR 82.8%

Entry 93¢·1,555 shares

$-1032INV $1.4K · WR 61.3%

Pepe1234567🥉

Entry 94¢·1,385.4 shares

$-982INV $1.3K · WR 64.4%

Bikesarethebesthedged

Entry 79¢·1,065.2 shares·also $106 on YES

$-562INV $846 · WR 56.1%

YancyBuchananhedged

Entry 95¢·550 shares·also $30 on YES

$-375INV $521 · WR 82.1%

CaysonFisherhedged

Entry 95¢·400 shares·also $22 on YES

$-272INV $379 · WR 72.0%

CompulsiveGambler

Entry 94¢·100 shares

$-68INV $94 · WR 68.3%

DEGENKHANProven

Entry 81¢·116 shares

$-63INV $94 · WR 66.7%

AddilynRamirezhedged

Entry 5¢·978 shares·also $925 on YES

+$209INV $52 · WR 76.9%

Maximus374Proven

Entry 90¢·30 shares

$-20INV $27 · WR 72.9%

Showing top 10 of 27

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 451ms

Smart money 47% YES: the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25%…