Economics88 days left

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

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YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$142.6K

882 trades

Smart Whales

27

of 324 traders · 2 on both sides

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.85M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+47¢$19.8K9/9

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+47¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

3¢+23¢$56.2K10/28

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+23¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027←

3¢+42¢$142.6K13/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027←+42¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

15¢+29¢$41.9K16/20

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+29¢15¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

6¢+21¢$81.0K6/16

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+21¢6¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

73¢−26¢$140.1K24/27

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−26¢73¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+30¢$23.0K6/13

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+16¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+16¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+19¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+19¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$28.3K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+43¢$13.2K7/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+43¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+22¢$107.6K5/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+22¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$132.5K6/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.2K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+34¢$41.8K9/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+34¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+38¢$226.0K23/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+38¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$366.8K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+47¢$320.1K27/28

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+47¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$81.7K17/22

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

13 YESvs16 NO

45%55%

55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 13 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$19 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $13·NO $1.0K

YES Team

Total Invested

$181

Avg Win Rate

72.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$156(-85.9%)

Whales

13

XAE12Archangel🥇hedged

Entry 103¢·120.2 shares·also $24 on NO

$-121INV $124 · WR 77.3%

BikesarethebestProven🥈

Entry 100¢·26 shares

$-25INV $26 · WR 56.1%

Entry 3¢·370.5 shares

$-1INV $11 · WR 61.7%

0xf5183756...hedged

Entry 4¢·114.1 shares·also $23 on NO

$-2INV $5 · WR 73.7%

hithitfarhedged

Entry 2¢·214.3 shares·also $272 on NO

+$1INV $5 · WR 59.4%

Entry 5¢·82.4 shares·also $76 on NO

$-2INV $4 · WR 61.0%

Entry 97¢·1.8 shares

$-2INV $2 · WR 71.7%

Entry 97¢·1.3 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 86.0%

Entry 5¢·24.4 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 77.1%

Entry 5¢·21.8 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%

Showing top 10 of 13

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

63.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$480(+42.7%)

Whales

16

Entry 95¢·603.9 shares

+$12INV $576 · WR 60.0%

hithitfar🥈hedged

Entry 97¢·281.1 shares·also $5 on YES

+$2INV $272 · WR 59.4%

Oldfarm🥉hedged

Entry 93¢·82.4 shares·also $4 on YES

+$4INV $76 · WR 61.0%

Sardonic-CueProven

Entry 94¢·52.8 shares

+$2INV $50 · WR 79.1%

Entry 97¢·50 shares

+$0INV $49 · WR 85.0%

Naughty-Volunteer

Entry 97¢·32.9 shares

+$0INV $32 · WR 72.4%

XAE12Archangelhedged

Entry 20¢·122.2 shares·also $124 on YES

+$95INV $24 · WR 77.3%

0xf5183756...hedged

Entry 95¢·24 shares·also $5 on YES

+$1INV $23 · WR 73.7%

Entry 2¢·380 shares

+$364INV $6 · WR 69.6%

Jam-Packed-Cage

Entry 97¢·5.1 shares

—INV $5 · WR 87.6%

Showing top 10 of 16

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 45% YES: the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25%…