Economics60 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$5.7K

367 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 134 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.91M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

2¢+42¢$21.2K8/10

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+30¢$58.8K12/25

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+37¢$142.7K11/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+37¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+56¢$52.4K21/15

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+56¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

2¢+20¢$82.2K4/14

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+20¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

70¢−23¢$151.0K21/24

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−23¢70¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+35¢$23.7K7/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+35¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$2.5K4/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027←

2¢+18¢$5.7K3/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027←+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+36¢$28.4K6/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+36¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+49¢$13.3K8/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+49¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+12¢$7621/6

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+12¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+25¢$110.5K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+25¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+24¢$132.6K6/17

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+24¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.4K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+41¢$43.8K9/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+41¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+39¢$233.6K21/30

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$379.3K32/41

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$325.2K25/32

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$82.4K20/24

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%

+1 new YES$5+1 new NO$161

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $522 is directional: YES $1·NO $521

YES Team

Total Invested

$292

Avg Win Rate

82.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$286(-98.0%)

Whales

3

cyx0752🥇hedged

Entry 96¢·190.7 shares·also $15 on NO

$-179INV $183 · WR 93.5%

Runner109🥈hedged

Entry 94¢·115 shares·also $8 on NO

$-106INV $108 · WR 63.4%

Entry 10¢·10 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 66.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$546

Avg Win Rate

87.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$364(+66.7%)

Whales

12

Entry 97¢·188.7 shares

+$2INV $183 · WR 95.7%

Entry 97¢·166 shares

+$2INV $161 · WR 92.0%

Entry 90¢·70 shares

+$6INV $63 · WR 88.0%

Entry 94¢·37 shares

+$1INV $35 · WR 87.1%

Entry 95¢·25.1 shares

+$1INV $24 · WR 59.5%

Entry 89¢·24.9 shares

+$2INV $22 · WR 58.9%

Entry 95¢·20 shares

+$1INV $19 · WR 68.1%

Entry 6¢·259.5 shares·also $183 on YES

+$240INV $15 · WR 93.5%

Entry 90¢·15 shares

+$1INV $13 · WR 56.9%

Runner109hedged

Entry 7¢·115 shares·also $108 on YES

+$105INV $8 · WR 63.4%

Showing top 10 of 12

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