Gummy-Casserole · Polymarket wallet 0x9be5…985e

Wallet snapshot

Gummy-Casserole has made 2,366 trades on Polymarket across 390 markets, $55K in volume. Most of it is in economics (50%) and geopolitics (21%). On 335 resolved markets the win rate is 75.8%, lifetime P&L +$1,131. It holds 28 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $1,119 · 91¢ → 94¢
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No · $338 · 82¢ → 85¢
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $325 · 81¢ → 98¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $298 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes · $254 · 81¢ → 85¢
• Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No · $197 · 67¢ → 92¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes · $152 · 68¢ → 65¢
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $600 in October?No · $50 · 92¢ → 90¢
• Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $900 in October?No · $50 · 90¢ → 99¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $48 · 77¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?Yes · +$24 · Oct 27, 2026
• No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes · -$199 · Oct 24, 2026
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $0 · Oct 24, 2026
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $0 · Oct 24, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Yes · +$2 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes · -$41 · Oct 19, 2026

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