Economics15 days left
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$62.1K
2,966 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 299 traders
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
5 MARKETS · $165.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+22¢$23.7K8/28by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement+22¢0¢
$23.7K8/28
by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement
0¢+43¢$10.5K13/17by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement+43¢0¢
$10.5K13/17
by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement
15¢+27¢$49.2K27/37by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement+27¢15¢
$49.2K27/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs45 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$152+2 new NO$4
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13.0K is directional: YES $12.7K·NO $286YES Team
Total Invested
$13.7K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+12.1%)
Whales
29
F
firegold🥇
Entry 73¢·11,142.5 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1280
+$1280INV $8.1K · WR 59.7%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 84¢·3,197 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2.7K · WR 60.0%
W
Wildanimal🥉
Entry 82¢·949.3 shares
Invested
$775
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $775 · WR 65.9%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 75¢·515 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $385 · WR 75.8%
R
rar111
Entry 83¢·274.5 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $227 · WR 61.8%
M
mgm93
Entry 64¢·301.8 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $193 · WR 63.0%
A
ASBetshedged
Entry 35¢·467 shares·also $209 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$231
+$231INV $165 · WR 58.9%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 84¢·114 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $96 · WR 79.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 82¢·59.9 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $49 · WR 75.8%
B
benoitgagnon997
Entry 84¢·46 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-43.5%)
Whales
45
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 43¢·3,131.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-869
$-869INV $1.3K · WR 87.7%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 45¢·1,735.9 shares
Invested
$782
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-518
$-518INV $782 · WR 85.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 41¢·1,270.9 shares
Invested
$519
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-325
$-325INV $519 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·825.2 shares
Invested
$411
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $411 · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 32¢·1,214.3 shares
Invested
$387
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-202
$-202INV $387 · WR 79.2%
M
merod
Entry 35¢·958.9 shares
Invested
$331
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-185
$-185INV $331 · WR 84.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 67¢·425 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-219
$-219INV $284 · WR 55.3%
A
ASBetshedged
Entry 45¢·467 shares·also $165 on YES
Invested
$209
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $209 · WR 58.9%
S
sbel
Entry 39¢·441.4 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $171 · WR 78.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 30¢·534.8 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $162 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 45
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