11 days left
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
64¢
64% implied
NO Price
36¢
36% implied
Volume
$36.9K
1,620 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 252 traders · 1 on both sides
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
7 MARKETS · $119.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+7¢$8.1K2/25by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+7¢0¢
$8.1K2/25
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+16¢$8.7K3/16by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting+16¢0¢
$8.7K3/16
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
33¢−4¢$33.2K14/35No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−4¢33¢
$33.2K14/35
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting←
64¢−33¢$36.9K15/34by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting←−33¢64¢
$36.9K15/34
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
1¢+5¢$10.0K2/30by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+5¢1¢
$10.0K2/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs34 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$544+16 new NO$391
$235 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $947 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $786·NO $149YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$825(-21.9%)
Whales
15
N
nicholasflamel🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·2,245.3 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-769
$-769INV $2.2K · WR 61.2%
F
firegold🥈
Entry 54¢·1,019.3 shares
Invested
$550
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $550 · WR 59.6%
6
6idontknow123451334🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·301 shares·also $96 on NO
Invested
$280
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $280 · WR 62.9%
V
vino1234
Entry 74¢·300.4 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $222 · WR 61.7%
E
exothetajunkie
Entry 68¢·244.7 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $166 · WR 59.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 64¢·256 shares·also $149 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $165 · WR 55.2%
W
WeFoundLove
Entry 52¢·80 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $42 · WR 66.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 69.6%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 56¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 67.1%
A
anonymousbtcuser1000hedged
Entry 10¢·60 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $6 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.7K(-47.8%)
Whales
34
N
nicholasflamel🥇hedged
Entry 104¢·2,245.3 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1520
$-1520INV $2.3K · WR 61.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 80¢·1,136.4 shares
Invested
$907
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-498
$-498INV $907 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 52¢·792.8 shares
Invested
$412
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $412 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 69¢·404 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $277 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 53¢·360 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $192 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 82¢·198.1 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $162 · WR 89.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 79¢·189.1 shares·also $165 on YES
Invested
$149
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $149 · WR 55.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 58¢·247.8 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $143 · WR 72.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 81¢·156.7 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $127 · WR 89.0%
A
anonymousbtcuser1000hedged
Entry 50¢·200 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $100 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 34
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