14 days left
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$9.2K
486 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 112 traders
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
7 MARKETS · $114.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+7¢$7.8K2/28by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting+7¢0¢
$7.8K2/28
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢+9¢$8.6K2/20by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting+9¢0¢
$8.6K2/20
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
43¢−17¢$32.0K13/37No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−17¢43¢
$32.0K13/37
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
53¢−26¢$35.8K14/38by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting−26¢53¢
$35.8K14/38
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting←
4¢+5¢$9.2K3/31by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting←+5¢4¢
$9.2K3/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs31 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $448 is directional: YES $11·NO $437YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-26.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+94.6%)
Whales
31
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·1,004.7 shares
Invested
$502
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$463
+$463INV $502 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·510 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $255 · WR 88.2%
P
podairpod🥉
Entry 93¢·255 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $238 · WR 60.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·420 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $210 · WR 79.6%
O
oneoftheppl◆Proven
Entry 95¢·190.3 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $180 · WR 63.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·353.9 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$161
+$161INV $178 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 49¢·273.8 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $135 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 34¢·380 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $130 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·232 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $116 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 20¢·456 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $93 · WR 87.7%
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