34 days left
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
70¢
70% implied
NO Price
30¢
30% implied
Volume
$27.5K
1,341 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 269 traders
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
5 MARKETS · $56.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
0¢0¢$3.3K0/14by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting0¢0¢
$3.3K0/14
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$3.5K0/17by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$3.5K0/17
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
22¢−1¢$17.8K6/22No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−1¢22¢
$17.8K6/22
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs18 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.8K+16 new NO$623
$715 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$172(+14.4%)
Whales
16
F
firegold🥇
Entry 70¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$704
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $704 · WR 59.5%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 51¢·413.6 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $209 · WR 59.2%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥉
Entry 51¢·200 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $102 · WR 62.6%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 57¢·130.5 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $74 · WR 76.6%
P
pppooooolllmmmkhedged
Entry 53¢·93 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $49 · WR 80.5%
C
Careerchanger
Entry 74¢·27 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 94.4%
E
efficient-market-enforcer
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $7 · WR 78.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 72¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 68.5%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 56¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 64.3%
3
0x3cd3567a...
Entry 60¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 90.0%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$835
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$269(-32.3%)
Whales
18
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·429.8 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $217 · WR 86.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 49¢·274.4 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $136 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 46¢·274.7 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $126 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 44¢·280 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $124 · WR 88.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 41¢·213.3 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $87 · WR 86.2%
P
pppooooolllmmmkhedged
Entry 45¢·78 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $35 · WR 80.5%
C
C.PM
Entry 43¢·61.1 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $26 · WR 85.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 43¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $15 · WR 88.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 28¢·37 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 88.2%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 17¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 18
Smart Whale Trades
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