79 days left
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$4.9K
168 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 67 traders
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
7 MARKETS · $32.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting
48¢−26¢$17.7K8/29by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting−26¢48¢
$17.7K8/29
by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting
0¢0¢$5.8K0/19by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting0¢0¢
$5.8K0/19
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
0¢0¢$7190/11by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting0¢0¢
$7190/11
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$6150/7by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$6150/7
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
30¢−30¢$2.4K0/11No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−30¢30¢
$2.4K0/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$126+2 new NO$17
$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $927 is directional: YES $923·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$483(+31.1%)
Whales
5
F
firegold🥇
Entry 62¢·1,446.1 shares
Invested
$901
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $901 · WR 60.1%
I
InterestingUser🥈
Entry 43¢·1,328.3 shares
Invested
$577
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $577 · WR 64.3%
M
maomao228🥉hedged
Entry 62¢·77.4 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $48 · WR 65.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 76¢·29.5 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $22 · WR 68.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 71¢·6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 69.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$214
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-25.7%)
Whales
9
J
JustClickeverywhere🥇
Entry 50¢·169.9 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $85 · WR 78.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 39¢·167 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $65 · WR 85.7%
M
maomao228🥉hedged
Entry 30¢·97.4 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 65.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 49¢·41.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $20 · WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 25¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 85.0%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 17¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 89.1%
H
highstakebet
Entry 25¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 25¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 87.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 70¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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