34 days left
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$17.8K
1,080 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 215 traders
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
11 MARKETS · $380.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
2¢+29¢$133.8K25/56No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢2¢
$133.8K25/56
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
73¢−32¢$143.8K39/55No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−32¢73¢
$143.8K39/55
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
0¢0¢$3.3K0/14by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting0¢0¢
$3.3K0/14
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$3.5K0/17by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$3.5K0/17
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting←
22¢−1¢$17.8K6/22No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting←−1¢22¢
$17.8K6/22
by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting
70¢−32¢$27.5K13/21by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting−32¢70¢
$27.5K13/21
by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting
3¢−3¢$3.9K0/18by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting−3¢3¢
$3.9K0/18
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
8¢+6¢$8.3K3/19No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+6¢8¢
$8.3K3/19
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
89¢−68¢$14.5K6/23No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−68¢89¢
$14.5K6/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs19 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$488+20 new NO$908
$460 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $126 is directional: YES $96·NO $30YES Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$59(-38.1%)
Whales
7
P
podairpod🥇
Entry 32¢·292.8 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $92 · WR 59.2%
C
cloverpmq2🥈
Entry 86¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $43 · WR 55.6%
N
nefariouskermit🥉
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $16 · WR 55.1%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 32¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 64.3%
B
big-bird1
Entry 43¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 11¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 20¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 82.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$328(+30.5%)
Whales
19
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 68¢·668.9 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $454 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 62¢·189 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $118 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 46¢·229.9 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $107 · WR 86.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 63¢·141.2 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $88 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 84¢·58.4 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $49 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·89.5 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $45 · WR 88.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $30 · WR 88.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 77¢·37 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $21 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 43¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $21 · WR 88.2%
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