Economics43 days left
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$8.3K
545 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 135 traders
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
11 MARKETS · $368.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
2¢+29¢$133.8K25/56No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+29¢2¢
$133.8K25/56
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
70¢−29¢$143.3K39/55No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−29¢70¢
$143.3K39/55
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
22¢−1¢$17.8K6/22No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−1¢22¢
$17.8K6/22
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$2.6K0/15by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$2.6K0/15
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+4¢$3.3K1/19by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+4¢1¢
$3.3K1/19
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting←
8¢+6¢$8.3K3/19No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting←+6¢8¢
$8.3K3/19
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
91¢−61¢$17.7K8/19by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−61¢91¢
$17.7K8/19
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$3.0K0/21by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$3.0K0/21
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
89¢−68¢$14.5K6/23No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−68¢89¢
$14.5K6/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs20 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$72+13 new NO$546
$53 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $261 is directional: YES $108·NO $153YES Team
Total Invested
$492
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$389(-79.0%)
Whales
5
V
vino1234🥇hedged
Entry 65¢·592 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$385
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-338
$-338INV $385 · WR 61.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 20¢·262.8 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $53 · WR 87.7%
0
0x0a7e8e24...🥉
Entry 14¢·299.2 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $42 · WR 73.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 14¢·90.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $12 · WR 79.7%
P
polmarke195
Entry 13¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 87.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$600(+56.4%)
Whales
20
C
C.PM🥇
Entry 65¢·230 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $149 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·278.2 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $139 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 62¢·187.1 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $115 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 79¢·145 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $114 · WR 72.1%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 63¢·178.4 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $112 · WR 62.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 56¢·154.6 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $86 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 60¢·136.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $82 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 61¢·90 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $55 · WR 87.7%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 72¢·45 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $32 · WR 60.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 62¢·46.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $29 · WR 86.2%
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