Economics43 days left
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$17.7K
780 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 169 traders
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
5 MARKETS · $35.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢−1¢$2.6K0/15by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting−1¢1¢
$2.6K0/15
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+4¢$3.3K1/19by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+4¢1¢
$3.3K1/19
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
8¢+6¢$8.3K3/19No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+6¢8¢
$8.3K3/19
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs20 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$1.6K+25 new NO$230
$179 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+39.7%)
Whales
9
F
FNZ🥇
Entry 86¢·905 shares
Invested
$775
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $775 · WR 86.4%
F
firegold🥈
Entry 77¢·944.5 shares
Invested
$728
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $728 · WR 59.5%
A
akimbogod🥉
Entry 71¢·920 shares
Invested
$652
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $652 · WR 66.2%
P
podairpod
Entry 39¢·1,079.9 shares
Invested
$426
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$551
+$551INV $426 · WR 59.2%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 41¢·403.3 shares·also $320 on NO
Invested
$164
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $164 · WR 66.1%
M
Monjiro
Entry 68¢·69.3 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $47 · WR 56.4%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 51¢·30.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $16 · WR 62.6%
S
Sr97
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 88.3%
D
Dry-Avocado-Caviar
Entry 79¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 88.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$828
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$597(-72.1%)
Whales
20
N
nicholasflamel🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·403.3 shares·also $164 on YES
Invested
$320
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-282
$-282INV $320 · WR 66.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 32¢·264.9 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $84 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 34¢·238.8 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $81 · WR 88.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 43¢·120 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $52 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 49¢·87.1 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $42 · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 30¢·123.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $37 · WR 88.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 38¢·75 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $28 · WR 87.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 19¢·136 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $26 · WR 72.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 24¢·90.1 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $22 · WR 79.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 26¢·83.8 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $22 · WR 86.1%
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