Careerchanger · Polymarket wallet 0x1107…b151

Wallet snapshot

Careerchanger has made 52 trades on Polymarket across 38 markets, $1,834 in volume. Most of it is in politics (47%) and economics (16%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 94.1%, lifetime P&L +$247. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $207 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No · $158 · 94¢ → 99¢
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No · $103 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes · $57 · 77¢ → 88¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes · $56 · 42¢ → 59¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No · $54 · 46¢ → 56¢
• Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes · $44 · 85¢ → 84¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No · $39 · 75¢ → 78¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?No · $29 · 84¢ → 80¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $25 · 84¢ → 85¢

Latest closed positions

• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes · +$7 · Nov 3, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?No · +$69 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · +$2 · Nov 2, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No · -$8 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?No · +$4 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Yes · +$19 · Nov 2, 2026

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