16 days left
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$46.4K
2,197 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 292 traders
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
7 MARKETS · $150.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+39¢$8.3K11/17by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+39¢0¢
$8.3K11/17
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+14¢$17.3K7/43by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+14¢0¢
$17.3K7/43
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting
82¢−51¢$58.2K28/61No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting−51¢82¢
$58.2K28/61
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting←
17¢+20¢$46.4K30/52by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting←+20¢17¢
$46.4K30/52
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+17¢$16.3K8/39by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+17¢0¢
$16.3K8/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs52 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$126(-5.5%)
Whales
30
T
test456y78🥇
Entry 18¢·4,802.1 shares
Invested
$847
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$351
+$351INV $847 · WR 59.3%
V
vieuxtemps🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·414.3 shares·also $178 on NO
Invested
$334
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-265
$-265INV $334 · WR 58.6%
R
ryzt🥉
Entry 29¢·1,031.2 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $302 · WR 66.5%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 70¢·237.7 shares·also $131 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $165 · WR 61.2%
P
podairpod
Entry 68¢·170.2 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $116 · WR 59.2%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 15¢·359.6 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $53 · WR 62.9%
D
Dr.mett
Entry 15¢·248.3 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $38 · WR 88.4%
T
tinman2
Entry 25¢·77.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $19 · WR 66.1%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 23¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 79.1%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 34¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.6K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+11.9%)
Whales
52
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 76¢·2,680 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $2.0K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 69¢·2,432.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$349
+$349INV $1.7K · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 78¢·1,880.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $1.5K · WR 79.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 82¢·423.6 shares
Invested
$345
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $345 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 77¢·447.5 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $342 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¢·355.2 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $281 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 56¢·475.6 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $264 · WR 85.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 82¢·258.5 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $212 · WR 59.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 79¢·232.8 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $184 · WR 88.2%
Z
zerone777
Entry 83¢·220 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $183 · WR 87.0%
Showing top 10 of 52
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1686ms