27 days left
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$41.3K
1,911 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 268 traders
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
12 MARKETS · $309.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting
30¢−8¢$31.1K10/36No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting−8¢30¢
$31.1K10/36
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
7¢+31¢$93.6K28/46No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting+31¢7¢
$93.6K28/46
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting
96¢−60¢$60.9K27/49No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting−60¢96¢
$60.9K27/49
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting
95¢−69¢$25.8K8/23No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting−69¢95¢
$25.8K8/23
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$4.2K3/17by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$4.2K3/17
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
0¢+8¢$7.5K2/24by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+8¢0¢
$7.5K2/24
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting←
85¢−49¢$41.3K20/35No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting←−49¢85¢
$41.3K20/35
by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting
16¢+14¢$24.4K15/35by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting+14¢16¢
$24.4K15/35
by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting
1¢+7¢$6.9K2/24by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting+7¢1¢
$6.9K2/24
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting
27¢−15¢$9.2K2/15No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting−15¢27¢
$9.2K2/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs35 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$335+13 new NO$70
$35 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.9K is directional: YES $7.8K·NO $65YES Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+16.7%)
Whales
18
F
firegold🥇
Entry 74¢·9,320.3 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$867
+$867INV $6.9K · WR 59.7%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 75¢·873.9 shares
Invested
$659
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $659 · WR 60.0%
1
14ffff🥉hedged
Entry 59¢·411.8 shares·also $510 on NO
Invested
$243
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $243 · WR 82.6%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 78¢·220 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $171 · WR 75.8%
B
bhdtshbgdsxfhedged
Entry 55¢·244.7 shares·also $153 on NO
Invested
$135
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $135 · WR 83.6%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 32¢·311.4 shares·also $227 on NO
Invested
$99
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $99 · WR 73.3%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 31¢·144 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $44 · WR 61.2%
S
Subdued-Pasta◆Proven
Entry 47¢·47 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $22 · WR 85.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 78¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 68.4%
B
big-bird1
Entry 78¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-51.6%)
Whales
35
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 41¢·1,253.2 shares
Invested
$511
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-316
$-316INV $511 · WR 79.6%
1
14ffff🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·770.8 shares·also $243 on YES
Invested
$510
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-391
$-391INV $510 · WR 82.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 25¢·1,317.8 shares
Invested
$328
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $328 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 32¢·901.3 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $292 · WR 72.2%
F
FishHunterhedged
Entry 73¢·311.4 shares·also $99 on YES
Invested
$227
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-179
$-179INV $227 · WR 73.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 40¢·437.1 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $174 · WR 85.7%
B
bhdtshbgdsxfhedged
Entry 61¢·249.7 shares·also $135 on YES
Invested
$153
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $153 · WR 83.6%
N
nicholasflamelhedged
Entry 75¢·144 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $107 · WR 61.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 28¢·343.5 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $95 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 37¢·235 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $86 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 35
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